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兩岸與中國政局Cross-Strait and Chinese Politics·2026-09-21·約 4 分鐘about 4 min read

習近平 9 月 23 日啟程訪美,中共定調 10 月 26 日召開五中全會推進從嚴治黨Xi Jinping to Visit U.S. on Sept. 23 as CCP Sets Fifth Plenum for Oct. 26 to Deepen Party Discipline

北京正式拍板元首訪美時程與黨內全會會期,美中紐約經貿談判延伸至人工智慧對話,對內則以整肅紀律壓陣。Beijing finalizes dates for the head-of-state visit and party plenum; New York trade talks broaden to artificial intelligence while domestic discipline tightens.

前情提要Previously本刊第 12 次談Our take #12 on 兩岸與中國政局
上次Last time何立峰赴美磋商 300 億美元降稅,美祭俄油次級關稅最高 100%訂閱版Subscriber(09/20):何立峰率團赴美磋商,雙方就 300 億美元商品相互降低關稅展開密切交流
這次的變化What changed習近平定於 9 月 23 日至 25 日訪美,為時隔 11 年再度國是訪問,也是半年內美中元首二度會面
聯合國大會會議廳
圖:Photo: Basil D Soufi 授權:License: CC BY-SA 3.0 來源:Source: Wikimedia Commons
當日相關新聞Stories today
21 則

本篇重點:The key points:

  • 習近平定於 9 月 23 日至 25 日訪美,為時隔 11 年再度國是訪問,也是半年內美中元首二度會面Xi Jinping set to visit the U.S. from Sept. 23 to 25, marking his first state visit in 11 years and the second bilateral summit in six months
  • 中共中央政治局會議拍板 20 屆五中全會於 10 月 26 日至 29 日在北京召開,審議從嚴治黨重大決定CCP Politburo sets the 20th Central Committee's Fifth Plenum for Oct. 26 to 29 in Beijing to review a major resolution on full, strict party governance
  • 何立峰與貝森特於紐約完成經貿磋商,雙方對話範疇由關稅延伸至人工智慧議題與稀土履約進度He Lifeng and Scott Bessent conclude trade talks in New York, broadening discussions from tariffs to AI safety and rare earth commitments
  • 勞動部長洪申翰以APEC成員身分抵達南京出席部長級會議,為賴政府上任後首位赴陸部長Taiwan Labor Minister Hung Sun-han arrives in Nanjing for an APEC ministerial meeting, becoming the first cabinet minister under the Lai administration to visit mainland China

北京當局今天正式宣布國家主席習近平將於 9 月 23 日至 25 日對美國展開國是訪問,並同步定調中共 20 屆五中全會於 10 月 26 日至 29 日召開。這確立了未來一個月北京「外求經貿穩定、內固政治控制」的雙軌議程,對外談判觸角自降稅延伸至人工智慧對話,對內則以全面從嚴治黨文件壓制權力雜音。Beijing formally announced today that President Xi Jinping will conduct a state visit to the United States from September 23 to 25, while setting the 20th CCP Central Committee's Fifth Plenum for October 26 to 29. The moves establish a dual-track agenda for the coming month: securing external trade stability while consolidating domestic political control. External negotiations have expanded from tariff rollbacks to artificial intelligence, while internal discipline documents aim to quiet internal party divisions.

逐一來看Subject by subject

中國外交部與國家元首出訪行程Chinese Foreign Ministry and Head-of-State Travel

中國外交部發言人郭嘉昆今天宣布,應美國總統川普邀請,中國國家主席習近平將於 9 月 23 日至 25 日對美國進行國是訪問。這是習近平時隔 11 年再度赴美進行國是訪問,也是繼今年 5 月雙方在北京會晤後,美中兩國元首在半年內的第二度互訪。Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun announced today that, at the invitation of U.S. President Donald Trump, President Xi Jinping will pay a state visit to the United States from September 23 to 25. This marks Xi's first state visit to the U.S. in 11 years and the second summit between the two heads of state in six months, following their meeting in Beijing in May.

郭嘉昆表示,中方願與美方一道豐富中美建設性戰略穩定關係內涵,加強對話合作並管控分歧。針對美方官員指稱中方尚未全面落實恢復稀土供應承諾,以及 11 月 10 日暫停擴大稀土出口限制是否延長等詢問,郭嘉昆均未正面回應,僅表示具體問題建議向主管部門詢問,強調雙方應共同落實兩國元首達成的重要共識。Guo stated that China is willing to work with the U.S. to enrich the substantive framework of constructive strategic stability, strengthen dialogue and cooperation, and manage differences. When asked about U.S. statements claiming China has not fully honored its commitment to resume rare earth supplies, and whether the November 10 pause on expanded export restrictions will be extended, Guo declined to answer directly, directing inquiries to relevant authorities while emphasizing the shared duty to implement summit consensus.

中共中央政治局與五中全會籌備CCP Politburo and Fifth Plenum Preparations

中共中央政治局召開會議,由總書記習近平主持,正式決定中共第 20 屆中央委員會第 5 次全體會議(五中全會)於 10 月 26 日至 29 日在北京召開。會議聽取了「中共中央關於持之以恆推進全面從嚴治黨若干重大問題的決定」稿在黨內外徵求意見的報告,決定修改後提請五中全會審議。The CCP Politburo convened a meeting chaired by General Secretary Xi Jinping, formally deciding that the Fifth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee will be held in Beijing from October 26 to 29. The meeting heard a report on feedback regarding the draft "Decision of the CCP Central Committee on Persistently Promoting Full and Strict Governance over the Party in Depth," resolving to submit the revised document to the Fifth Plenum for deliberation.

會議定調必須堅持嚴的基調不動搖,健全全面從嚴治黨體系,並將此提升至鞏固執政地位與戰略高度,以政治建設推進自我淨化。此次會期確定,為此前因高層人事調整所引發的外界揣測提供了具體的政治時間表。The Politburo concluded that the party must resolutely adhere to strict governance and improve institutional oversight, framing the effort as vital to consolidating governance legitimacy and achieving strategic objectives through internal discipline. Setting the plenum dates provides a firm political timeline following external speculation over high-level personnel adjustments.

美中經貿高層紐約磋商High-Level U.S.-China Economic Talks in New York

國務院副總理何立峰與美國財政部長貝森特、貿易代表葛里爾在紐約一家研究機構總部完成經貿磋商。何立峰率領的團隊中,商務部原副部長李成鋼在會前獲國務院任命為正部長級的中華人民共和國國際貿易談判代表,以對等規格參與談判。Vice Premier He Lifeng concluded economic and trade consultations in New York at 一家研究機構 Chase headquarters alongside U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer. In He's delegation, former Vice Minister of Commerce Li Chenggang was named China International Trade Representative at the ministerial rank immediately ahead of the meetings to ensure protocol parity.

新華社指出,雙方除了圍繞落實歷次經貿磋商共識、促進雙邊貿易投資等問題交流外,更首度就人工智慧(AI)安全及相關問題舉行正式對話。貝森特會後向媒體表示雙方就貿易與AI進行了非常成功的交流,葛里爾亦稱雙方合作至關重要,顯示兩國正試圖在戰略性新興科技領域建立溝通渠道。Xinhua reported that beyond reviewing the implementation of previous trade consensus and promoting bilateral investment, the two sides held their first formal dialogue on artificial intelligence safety and related issues. Bessent told reporters after the session that the parties held very successful exchanges on trade and AI, while Greer emphasized the importance of bilateral collaboration, signaling an effort to establish communication mechanisms in strategic emerging technologies.

兩岸官方參與APEC部長會議Cross-Strait Participation in APEC Ministerial Meeting

2026 年亞太經濟合作會議(APEC)人力資源發展部長會議於南京鍾山風景名勝區舉行。台灣勞動部長洪申翰於 20 日晚間 7 時 57 分抵達南京祿口國際機場,21 日上午正式出席會議,成為總統賴清德上任以來首位赴中國大陸參會的內閣部長。The 2026 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Human Resources Development Ministerial Meeting convened in the Zhongshan scenic area of Nanjing. Taiwan's Minister of Labor, Hung Sun-han, arrived at Nanjing Lukou International Airport at 7:57 p.m. on September 20 and attended the session on the morning of September 21, becoming the first cabinet minister under President Lai Ching-te to travel to mainland China.

陸委會說明,台灣為APEC正式會員,洪申翰憑APEC會議邀請函依慣例通關入場,免持台胞證。主辦城市南京在會場東郊國賓館周邊啟動高規格交管維安,會場外圍則配合舉辦大型人才招募博覽會。Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council stated that as Taiwan is a full APEC member, Hung cleared customs using his official meeting invitation in line with established precedent without requiring a Mainland Travel Permit. The host city implemented strict traffic controls and security cordons around the Purple Palace venue, alongside an external recruitment fair.

其他要聞Other News

中國國防部宣布 9 月 22 日至 25 日派分隊赴印尼參加東協防長擴大會「三叉戟決心」實兵演習;廣東省政府印發預案要求重大突發事件須在 24 小時內舉行首場新聞發布會;港媒報導國台辦副主任趙世通內定接任福建省委統戰部部長;市場監管總局表示十五五時期將推進修訂自 1998 年實施的價格法以整治低價傾銷。China's Ministry of National Defense announced it will deploy troops to Indonesia from September 22 to 25 to participate in the ASEAN Defense Ministers' Meeting-Plus "Trident Determination" live-fire exercise; Guangdong's provincial government issued emergency regulations requiring a press conference within 24 hours of major unexpected incidents; Hong Kong media reported Taiwan Affairs Office Deputy Director Zhao Shitong is slated to lead the Fujian Provincial Party Committee's United Front Work Department; and the State Administration for Market Regulation said it will pursue revisions to the 1998 Price Law during the 15th Five-Year Plan to address below-cost dumping.

本刊觀點:The Journal's View: 北京當局將元首外訪與黨內全會的時程在同一天敲定,顯示其意圖透過對外外交突破來穩定內部政治局勢。相較於前 1 日市場聚焦於 300 億美元降稅與能源關稅的磋商細節,今天新增的實質變化在於談判範疇已擴展至人工智慧領域,且美方關切的關鍵礦產供應承諾尚未落實,這構成了經貿共識與執行數據之間的明顯裂縫。

美方官員直指中國尚未全面落實恢復稀土供應的協議,而 11 月 10 日暫停擴大稀土出口限制的期限即將屆滿,中方代表對此三緘其口。這反映出雙方在紐約雖然展現了對話氣氛,但核心戰略物資的控制權仍未鬆動。

本刊認為,元首峰會即便能為下半年的APEC與G20 互動鋪路,卻難以化解高端科技與關鍵資源的相互防堵,北京在五中全會前夕高調重申從嚴治黨,亦暴露出內部治理壓力並未因外交接觸而降低。

By confirming the schedule for the head-of-state visit and the party plenum on the same day, Beijing signaled an intent to leverage foreign policy progress to stabilize domestic political headwinds.

While market attention previously centered on $30 billion in tariff adjustments and energy levies, the substantive addition today is that talks have broadened into artificial intelligence, even as U.S.concerns over rare earth supply commitments remain unaddressed—revealing a distinct gap between trade rhetoric and operational follow-through.U.S.

officials noted that China has yet to fully honor its agreement to restore rare earth shipments, with the November 10 expiration of the pause on expanded export curbs fast approaching, an issue Chinese envoys declined to address.This demonstrates that beneath the cordial atmosphere in New York, Beijing has not yielded leverage over critical strategic resources.

The Journal believes that while a bilateral summit may pave the way for engagements at APEC and the G20 later this year, it will do little to resolve structural containment in advanced technology and critical minerals.

Beijing's vocal reassertion of party discipline ahead of the Fifth Plenum further reveals that domestic governance pressures have not abated with diplomatic outreach.

接下來看什麼:What to watch:

  1. 11 月 10 日前中國是否延長暫停實施擴大稀土出口限制:若正式公告延長,顯示元首會晤取得實質讓步;若如期到期重啟限制,則經貿緩和訊號證偽Whether China extends its pause on expanded rare earth export controls before November 10: An official extension would indicate concrete summit concessions; letting the pause expire would negate signals of trade detente
  2. 10 月 26 日至 29 日召開的中共 20 屆五中全會公報:若軍委缺額正式補齊並通過全面從嚴治黨文件,權力結構重組確立;若未公布人事任免,內部權力分歧仍未解決The communiqué from the CCP's 20th Fifth Plenum (October 26–29): Confirmation of appointments filling Central Military Commission vacancies alongside the party governance resolution would signal consolidated reshuffling; an absence of personnel announcements would imply unresolved internal friction

圖表與數字以公開行情與營收面板另行計算,行情資料日 2026-09-21。Charts and figures are computed from public price and revenue panels; market data as of 2026-09-21.

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