AHI Journal

2026 年 9 月 7 日 星期一Monday, September 07, 2026登入Log In訂閱Subscribe
8 月營收AUGUST REVENUES

同一個月,兩種曲線:光通訊與載板衝高,鏡頭年減 16%Two Paths in August: Optical and Substrates Surge as Lens Modules Drop 16%

台光電年增 129.85%、聯亞年增 180.9%、高力年增 112.84%;大立光年減 16.23%。Elite Material +129.85%, LandMark Optoelectronics +180.9%, Kaori Heat Treatment +112.84%; Largan Precision -16.23%.

光纖纜線
圖:Photo: Syced 授權:License: CC0 來源:Source: Wikimedia Commons
2026 年 9 月 7 日 星期一Monday, September 07, 2026科技Technology光通訊與 CPOOptical & CPO免費版Free Edition
下一個可驗證時點Next checkpoint10/10(六)2383 台光電 9 月營收(10 日前申報)
到時候看What to check9 月營收年增率是否高於前 3 個月平均(前 3 個月平均年增 +121.6%);月增率有沒有延續,累計年增率的方向。

台灣科技產業 8 月營收公佈,市場看見了截然不同的 2 條曲線。一端是以人工智慧為核心的材料、光通訊與測試供應鏈,營收呈現翻倍式的爆發;另一端則是傳統消費性電子的旗艦指標,在傳統出貨旺季依然落入衰退。台光電 8 月營收衝破 200 億元,聯亞與高力的年增率雙雙跨越 100%門檻;相較之下,大立光單月營收卻較去年同期衰退超過 16%。這項數據打破了市場對於下半年電子業全面復甦的預期,揭示出硬體投資已進入高度分化的殘酷淘汰賽。企業能否切入算力基建的關鍵瓶頸,決定了營收規模是創歷史新高還是陷入泥淖。Taiwan's technology sector posted its August revenue figures, revealing two starkly divergent trajectories. On one side, suppliers tied to artificial intelligence—spanning high-end materials, optical communications, and chip testing—enjoyed explosive, triple-digit sales growth. On the other, flagship stalwarts of traditional consumer electronics slipped into year-over-year contraction despite entering what is typically their peak shipping season. Elite Material saw August revenue surge past 20 billion New Taiwan dollars, while LandMark Optoelectronics and Kaori Heat Treatment both notched year-over-year growth exceeding 100%. In contrast, smartphone lens maker Largan Precision experienced a revenue drop of more than 16% from a year earlier. The figures puncture market hopes for a broad-based second-half tech recovery, underscoring a brutal shakeout where exposure to AI computing bottlenecks dictates whether balance sheets print record highs or sink deeper into stagnation.

算力基建推升材料與光通訊出貨AI Infrastructure Supercharges Materials and Optical Components

在AI伺服器與高速傳輸架構擴建帶動下,上游關鍵材料與光通訊零組件展現出前所未見的拉貨力道。台光電 8 月營收達到 201.46 億元,月增 4.89%、年增 129.85%,主要受惠於高階銅箔基板在AI伺服器的滲透率快速拉升,且下半年產品報價仍具備向上調整空間。與此同時,光通訊磊晶廠聯亞 8 月營收來到 5.20 億元,年增幅更高達 180.9%。這波暴增背後的核心動力在於關鍵材料供給瓶頸解除,磷化銦基板恢復正常供應後,生產阻礙迅速轉移至後段產能。上游零組件不僅打破出貨限制,更形成量價齊揚的強勁擴張態勢。Driven by aggressive deployments of AI servers and high-speed networking fabrics, upstream materials and optical components saw unprecedented order momentum. Elite Material reported August revenue of NT$20.146 billion, up 4.89% month over month and 129.85% year over year, buoyed by the rapid adoption of its premium copper-clad laminates in AI servers and room for further pricing hikes in the second half. Concurrently, optical communications epitaxy specialist LandMark Optoelectronics generated August revenue of NT$520 million, marking an astronomical 180.9% year-over-year jump. This surge was catalyzed by the clearing of material bottlenecks: with normal supplies of indium phosphide substrates restored, production friction shifted swiftly to back-end capacity, driving an environment of rising shipment volumes and firming average selling prices.

本文提及標的等權走勢 走勢圖133.9100.366.62120.1起點 = 10006-2607-1407-2908-1308-2809-14本文提及標的等權走勢 走勢圖133.9100.366.62120.1起點 = 10006-2607-2408-2009-16
本文提及標的等權走勢(起點 = 100) 5 檔等權・60 個交易日讀法:把本文提到、且有行情的 5 檔用相同權重合成一條線(起點 100),看的是這批標的作為一群的相對位置;個股之間的差異在下一張圖。
本篇標的近 20 日漲跌幅:收盤價 08-21 → 09-18;只列本篇提到且有行情的標的本篇標的近 20 日漲跌幅Recent Move收盤價 08-21 → 09-18;只列本篇提到且有行情的標的Close-to-close change for names covered in this piece−40%+40%03264 欣銓3264 欣銓+32.30%268.50268.508996 高力8996 高力+31.20%1430.001430.003008 大立光3008 大立光+14.60%6430.006430.003081 聯亞3081 聯亞−1.40%2880.002880.002383 台光電2383 台光電−13.90%4890.004890.00本篇標的近 20 日漲跌幅:收盤價 08-21 → 09-18;只列本篇提到且有行情的標的本篇標的近 20 日漲跌幅Recent Move收盤價 08-21 → 09-18;只列本篇提到且有行情的標的Close-to-close change for names covered in this piece−40%+40%03264 欣銓3264 欣銓+32.30%268.50268.508996 高力8996 高力+31.20%1430.001430.003008 大立光3008 大立光+14.60%6430.006430.003081 聯亞3081 聯亞−1.40%2880.002880.002383 台光電2383 台光電−13.90%4890.004890.00
讀法:同一段期間、同一個口徑,所以彼此可以比。右側數字是最新收盤價。新聞把這些公司寫在一起,價格未必同意——分歧本身就是一則資訊。

散熱走出淡季配合封測產能滿載Thermal Solutions Rebound as Chip Testing Runs at Capacity

這股由算力驅動的增長動能,同樣外溢至伺服器散熱解方與後段晶片封裝測試環節。高力 8 月營收達到 12.04 億元,月增 30.48%、年增 112.84%,繳出超出市場原先預估逾 2 成的成績單,主因在於散熱業務全面走出淡季低谷,液冷等相關散熱方案需求激增。測試大廠欣銓 8 月自結營收亦繳出 17.94 億元、年增 46.57%的歷史新高紀錄。欣銓龍潭新廠自 7 月正式進入量產後,全力聚焦於AI特殊應用晶片(ASIC)的測試服務,機台稼動率迅速逼近滿載。設備運轉效率與新產線的快速開出,印證了雲端服務業者對算力硬體的採購絲毫未見停歇。The computing boom spilled over vigorously into thermal management systems and back-end semiconductor testing. Kaori posted August revenue of NT$1.204 billion, representing a 30.48% sequential rise and a 112.84% year-over-year surge—topping consensus estimates by more than 20%—as its thermal business emerged decisively from cyclical troughs on booming demand for liquid-cooling hardware. Meanwhile, chip-testing specialist Ardentec logged record monthly revenue of NT$1.794 billion, up 46.57% year over year. Since kicking off volume production in July, Ardentec's new Longtan facility has been laser-focused on testing AI-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), pushing equipment utilization rates near maximum capacity. Rapid line bring-ups and high asset turnover confirm that cloud hyperscalers have yet to tap the brakes on compute procurement.

手機鏡頭旺季受挫面臨良率考驗Smartphone Optics Slump Amid Yield Hurdles During Peak Season

與算力供應鏈的狂飆形成強烈對比,手機光學龍頭大立光的營收曲線卻在旺季逆勢下滑。大立光 8 月營收為 50.12 億元,雖然較上月微增 2.76%,但與去年同期相比萎縮 16.23%,落後市場機構預期達 16.62%。手機品牌傳統拉貨節奏失靈,關鍵在於標準機種鏡頭出貨時程遞延,導致原本期待的旺季補量落空。儘管市場寄望摺疊機上市與高規格可變光圈鏡頭帶來單價提升,但新產品投產初期面臨嚴苛的良率耗損,不僅短期難以彌補營收缺口,更直接壓抑第 3 季毛利率展望。消費性硬體的換機動能疲弱,讓供應鏈必須先吞下良率學習的代價。In jarring contrast to the AI supply chain's ascent, flagship mobile lens maker Largan Precision stumbled during its supposed seasonal upswing. August revenue reached NT$5.012 billion, edging up just 2.76% from July while tumbling 16.23% year over year—trailing consensus forecasts by 16.62%. The classic smartphone replenishment cycle faltered as shipments of baseline model lenses were delayed, wiping out expected volume gains. Although the market had banked on premium foldable devices and variable-aperture lenses to bolster realized prices, early-stage yield drag on these intricate components created cost headwinds. Rather than plugging the revenue shortfall, these production bottlenecks threaten third-quarter gross margins, forcing optical suppliers to absorb yield-learning costs against a backdrop of tepid handset upgrade cycles.

市場在 8 月營收中看清了科技供應鏈的真實水溫。AI板塊同時掌握產能擴充與報價調升的雙重紅利,消費性電子則深陷規格轉換慢、良率折損高的困局。接下來觀察的方向,在於手機新品上市後的終端去化速度,以及光通訊與高階測試能多快跨越產能上限。這 2 條背道而馳的營收曲線,即將在第 3 季財報中轉化為更懸殊的獲利差距。The August revenue print provided an unvarnished temperature check across Taiwan's hardware ecosystem. The AI cohort is reaping the dual rewards of expanding production capacity and firmer pricing leverage, while the consumer electronics camp remains bogged down by sluggish specification upgrades and painful yield friction. Market attention will now pivot to the sell-through pace of new smartphone launches and the speed at which optical-networking and testing providers can push past capacity ceilings. These two diverging revenue paths are poised to translate into an even wider earnings chasm when third-quarter results arrive.

提供AI與消費性電子各次族群營收剪刀差拆解表,以及產能瓶頸轉移的關鍵檢查點。Features an operational revenue scissors-spread matrix separating AI from consumer subsectors, alongside critical checkpoints for shifting capacity bottlenecks.

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本刊結論:Our verdict: 立場:偏多AI相關材料與光通訊供應鏈營運動能、偏空傳統消費性電子鏡頭拉貨表現;信心:高,8 月營收數據呈現資料中心與AI零組件倍數增長,而手機鏡頭營收年減顯著;否證:若台光電單月營收年增率跌破 129.85%且大立光單月營收年增率由負轉正超越-16.23%,則本刊判斷錯。

接下來看什麼What to watch next

  1. 台光電營運表現:後續單月營收需維持在 201.46 億元以上且年增率維持在 129.85%水準;若營收低於 201.46 億元或年增率明顯放緩,則判斷不成立。
  2. 大立光拉貨動能:第 3 季單月營收若未能超越 8 月的 50.12 億元,且年增率持續低於-16.23%,則消費電子疲軟判斷成立;若營收突破 50.12 億元且年增率轉正,則判斷不成立。
  3. 聯亞供給瓶頸解除效益:後續單月營收若維持在 5.20 億元以上且年增率達 180.9%,則產能擴張判斷成立;若單月營收跌破 5.20 億元,則判斷不成立。

風險燈號Risk Dashboard

CSP資本支出與設備投資CSP Capex and Equipment Investment
法說會口徑一致上修,晶圓代工與伺服器產能供不應求Guidance revised up across earnings calls; foundry and server capacity remain tightly constrained
聯準會與通膨Fed Policy and Inflation
非農 16.2 萬人遠優預期、油價走高,政策更可能維持限制性甚至再升息Nonfarm payrolls at 162K beat forecasts and oil climbs, leaning policy toward restrictive stance or further hikes
外資期貨淨空單Foreign Net Short Futures Positions
進場條件之一,9 月第 1 週仍未見改善Key entry trigger; showed no improvement in the first week of September
融資餘額Margin Debt Balance
尚未接近警戒水位Remains below warning thresholds
地緣政治與油價Geopolitics and Oil Prices
中東衝突推升能源成本,並經由通膨影響利率路徑Middle East tensions drive energy costs higher, altering rate paths via inflation
記憶體通膨傳導Memory Price Pass-Through
上游報價續揚,下游消費性零組件承壓Upstream price increases continue, squeezing downstream consumer electronics components
當沖與籌碼溫度Day-Trading and Market Sentiment
成交量能萎縮,指數靠類股輪動維持Turnover is contracting as the index relies on sector rotation to stay aloft

要聞速覽What’s News看完整內容 →full story →

市場Markets

8 月非農遠優於預期,降息門檻墊高August Payrolls Far Exceed Estimates, Raising the Bar for Cuts美國 8 月新增非農就業 16.2 萬人,市場原本只預期 5.5 萬人,前期數字並上修至 2.1 萬人;失業率維持 4.1%。US nonfarm payrolls added 162K in August against consensus e…

薪資成長掉到疫情以來最低Wage Growth Slows to Lowest Level Since the Pandemic8 月平均時薪年增 3.1%,是疫情低潮以來最低水準,且低於同期通膨率——就業人數與購買力出現方向背離。Average hourly earnings rose 3.1% year over year in August, …

金融股單週大漲 7.4%Financials Surge 7.4% on the Week台股 9 月 4 日收 46,551.13 點、週漲 0.5%;金融類指數收 3,522.36 點、單週上漲 7.4%,電子類指數同期下跌 0.2%。The TAIEX closed at 46,551.13 on September 4, up 0.5% on the week;

台股 8 月全球第一Taiwan Equities Lead Globally in August8 月台股上漲 7.0%,在主要市場中居首;費城半導體指數今年以來上漲 65.7%,台股上漲 60.7%。The TAIEX gained 7.0% in August, topping major global markets;

產業與企業Industry & Companies

台灣製造業PMI連 11 個月擴張Taiwan Manufacturing PMI Expands for 11th Straight Month中華經濟研究院製造業採購經理人指數升至 62.5%,擴張速度是 2021 年秋季以來最快的一次;未來 6 個月展望指數 65.2%,已連續 8 個月站在 60%之上。The Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research manufacturin…

本期其他文章More From This Issue

回本期目錄 →Back to issue index →
3 個數字,一個方向THREE NUMBERS, ONE DIRECTION

就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing

勞動市場沒有壞掉,購買力卻在退。這個組合最不利的不是經濟,是想等降息的資產價格。The labor market is not breaking, but purchasing power is receding. That combination is worst not for the economy, but for asset prices counting on rate cuts.

2026-09-07總經與市場Markets貴金屬與原物料Precious Metals & Commodities
閱讀 →Read →
本刊觀點Editor's View

利率定價與供應鏈分歧下的天花板Financials Cast Their Vote on the Macro Data

市場態:立場:資產評價面臨限制性利率壓制,偏好高能見度硬體而非終端消費;信心:中等;否證:通膨顯著回落帶動降息預期,或消費電子拉貨出現全面性跨族群擴散。Market State: Armed Stance—TAIEX holds above the 240-day moving average with positive 20-day momentum; but rising rate hike expectations, higher oil prices, and unyielding foreign futures net short positions hold back entry.

2026-09-07本刊觀點Editor's View總經與利率Macro & Rates
閱讀 →Read →