AHI Journal
要聞速覽What’s News
原油單日下跌 3.1%Crude Oil Slumps 3.1% in Single Session紐約原油期貨 8 月 25 日收 82.36 美元、下跌 3.1%;市場解讀衝突處理方式由軍事轉向經濟制裁,能源供給受威脅的機率下降。WTI crude oil futures settled at USD 82.36 on August 25, down 3.1%, as markets interpreted the shift from military action to economic sanctions as reducing the likelihood of energy supply disruptions. 讀全文 →Read →
美股股債齊揚U.S. Stocks and Bonds Rally in Tandem道瓊上漲 0.3%、標普 500 上漲 0.3%、那斯達克上漲 0.7%,費城半導體指數上漲 1.4%;資訊科技類股由晶片股領漲。The Dow rose 0.3%, the S&P 500 added 0.3%, the Nasdaq climbed 0.7%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index gained 1.4%, led by chipmakers within the tech sector. 讀全文 →Read →
TAIEX Successfully Tests Monthly Moving Average加權指數 8 月 25 日收 45,169.46 點、漲幅 0.9%;開低走高、中後盤震盪走升,當日成交金額放大到 0.72 兆元。The TAIEX closed at 45,169.46 on August 25, up 0.9%, opening lower before trending higher into the close as turnover expanded to NT$720 billion. 讀全文 →Read →
避險部位沒有完全撤退Hedging Positions Remain Intact油價回落的同一天,黃金期貨月線仍上漲 14.6%、白銀月線上漲 19.2%——地緣風險的定價下修,但沒有解除。Even as crude retreated, gold futures held a 14.6% monthly gain and silver stood up 19.2%—geopolitical risk pricing moderated, but hedges were not liquidated. 讀全文 →Read →
加速器龍頭終止連七跌AI Accelerator Leader Halts Seven-Day Losing Streak新一代推論晶片機櫃宣布進入全面量產,股價 8 月 25 日上漲 2.2%,結束連續 7 個交易日下跌;法說會將於 8 月 26 日盤後登場。Following an announcement of full-scale mass production for next-generation inference racks, shares rose 2.2% on August 25, snapping a seven-day slide ahead of its post-market earnings call on August 26. 讀全文 →Read →
低軌衛星路由器出現第二供應商LEO Satellite Router Market Sees Second Source Emerge市場傳出美系客戶導入二供,判斷該客戶在印度布局而當地無量產基地。Reports indicated a major U.S. client introduced a second supplier, prompting sell-side target reductions while maintaining positive ratings; client expansion in India without local supplier capacity was cited as the primary catalyst. 讀全文 →Read →
800G交換器六、7 月起量產800G Switch Mass Production Underway Since June-July該廠 800G交換器已在 2026 年 6 至 7 月正式量產,目前約有 2 至 3 家企業級客戶,預估貢獻 2026 年營收約 50 億至 60 億元。A key supplier initiated mass production of 800G switches in June-July 2026, currently serving two to three enterprise clients and projected to contribute NT$5.0 billion to NT$6.0 billion in 2026 revenue. 讀全文 →Read →
租賃業中國延滯率 5 年來首度下降Leasing Sector China Delinquency Drops for First Time in Five Years中租-KY第 2 季中國延滯率季減 0.1 個百分點至 6.9%,是 2021 年第 3 季以來首次由升轉降;營業利益率 31.5%創 2 年新高。Chailease Holding (5871) saw its Q2 China delinquency rate drop 0.1 percentage point quarter-over-quarter to 6.9%, the first decline since Q3 2021, while operating margin hit a two-year high of 31.5%. 讀全文 →Read →
美系伺服器廠與網通廠結盟U.S. Server and Networking Giants Form Alliance美超微電腦與思科結盟,共同推廣安全的人工智慧工廠方案,2 家當日分別上漲 9.35%與 0.80%;光通訊族群同步走揚。Supermicro partnered with Cisco to promote secure AI factory solutions, lifting their shares 9.35% and 0.80% respectively, while optical communication suppliers gained in tandem. 讀全文 →Read →
市場快照Market Snapshot
| 加權指數TAIEX | 45,169.4645,169.46 | +0.9%(8 月以來+4.8%)+0.9% (+4.8% MTD) |
| 成交金額(上市)Turnover (TWSE) | 0.72 兆元NT$720 billion | 量能放大但仍低於兆元Turnover expanded but remains below NT$1 trillion |
| 費城半導體指數Philadelphia Semiconductor Index | 11,588.0411,588.04 | +1.4%(近 5 日−3.4%)+1.4% (−3.4% over 5 sessions) |
| 那斯達克指數Nasdaq Composite | 26,151.3026,151.30 | +0.7%(道瓊+0.3%)+0.7% (Dow +0.3%) |
| 紐約原油期貨WTI Crude Futures | 82.36 美元USD 82.36 | −3.1%,8 月以來−2.7%−3.1%, −2.7% MTD |
| 紐約黃金期貨Gold Futures | 4,638.10 美元USD 4,638.10 | 8 月以來+14.6%(白銀+19.2%)+14.6% MTD (Silver +19.2%) |
| 日經 225Nikkei 225 | 65,856.4365,856.43 | +0.5%(KOSPI +0.7%)+0.5% (KOSPI +0.7%) |
| 台股今年以來漲幅TAIEX Year-to-Date Return | +56.0%+56.0% | 費城半導體指數同期+63.6%SOX Index +63.6% over same period |
風險燈號Risk Dashboard
其他日期Other Days
- 2026-09-18國巨訂單出貨比攀至 2.2 伺服器電容規格翻倍推升稼動率Yageo's Book-to-Bill Ratio Climbs to 2.2 as Server Capacitor Specs Double, Driving Utilization
- 2026-09-18CPO降規傳言引發CCL族群重挫 業者駁斥高階用料不減反增CPO Speculation Hits CCL Stocks; Suppliers Counter High-End Demand Keeps Expanding
- 2026-09-173 大雲端巨頭半數資產未上線 基礎建設受制於電網交付延宕Half of Big Cloud Assets Offline as Grid Delays Bottleneck Infrastructure
- 2026-09-17欣興ABF報價跳增 1 成 缺料緊繃直指 2030 年Unimicron Hikes ABF Prices 10% as Supply Bottlenecks Stretch to 2030
- 2026-09-16矽晶圓缺口預估擴至 24% 漢測凍資 8,600 億引爆產能卡位Silicon Wafer Deficit Projected to Widen to 24%; Han-Test IPO Freezes NT$860B as Capacity Race Ignites
- 2026-09-16MOSFET全線缺料壓抑伺服器電源放量 台達電第 3 季獲利遭機構下修Widespread MOSFET Shortages Stifle Server Power Shipments; Brokerages Cut Delta Electronics Q3 Earnings Forecasts
- 2026-09-15探針卡版圖位移與算力治理重估Probe-Card Market Realigns as AI Governance Spurs Valuation Reckoning
- 2026-09-14關鍵對手品質瑕疵退出,旺矽壟斷次世代算力探針卡份額Rival Yield Failure Leaves MPI With Near-Monopoly on Next-Gen Probe Cards
- 2026-09-14布蘭特原油破百美元遭遇外資 8.5 萬口期貨空單,台股失守 46,200 點的流動性估值修正Brent Breaches $100 as Foreign Short Positions Hit 85,000 Contracts; Taiex Breaches 46,200 in Liquidity Repricing
- 2026-09-11村田停產常規料退守AI高地:被動元件掀起 3 年長週期大洗牌Murata Halts Legacy MLCC Lines to Fortify AI Stronghold, Triggering 3-Year Cycle Reshuffle
- 2026-09-11原油破百美元與出口 800 億交火:台股在武裝態中面臨雙向拉扯Crude Breaks $100 as Exports Hit $80 Billion: Taiwan Equities Caught in Crossfire
- 2026-09-10出口破天荒衝破 800 億美元,台股卻因百元油價退守 4 萬七Taiwan Exports Smash $80B Record, but $100 Oil Pushes TAIEX Below 47,000
- 2026-09-09距前高 289 點,成交量卻掉到 0.92 兆Taiwan Shares Sit 289 Points Below Record as Turnover Dries to NT$920 Billion
- 2026-09-08同一波記憶體漲價:大立光降評,華邦電創新高The Same Memory Price Surge: Largan Downgraded, Winbond Hits Record High
- 2026-09-07就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing
- 2026-09-05反彈 693 點站回 5 日線,量能創 8 月底新低Taiex Jumps 693 Points to Reclaim 5-Day Line on Thinnest Volume Since Late August
- 2026-09-0495 美元油價擊落台股 1,091 點$95 Oil Knocks 1,091 Points Off Taiex
- 2026-09-03金融指數漲 2.19% 創高,櫃買跌破季線Financials Surge 2.19% to Record High as OTC Index Slips Below Quarterly Line
- 2026-09-034.8% 殖利率壓過 950 億美元 AI 積壓訂單A 4.8% Yield Outweighs $95 Billion in AI Backlogs
- 2026-08-31「很難把金融狀況說成限制性的」'Hard to Describe Financial Conditions as Restrictive'
- 2026-08-27手握 962 億美元與 2 兆訂單,毛利率仍連跌 3 季Armed With $96.2 Billion and $2 Trillion in Backlog, Gross Margin Still Falls for Three Quarters
- 2026-08-251.1 兆美元的租賃承諾,還沒進到資產負債表$1.1 Trillion in Lease Commitments Has Yet to Hit the Balance Sheet
- 2026-08-24當龍頭也要漲價:記憶體的帳單開始往終端移動When the Market Leader Raises Prices: Memory Costs Land on the End Customer
- 2026-08-23科技公司加入搶長期資金,長債殖利率因此壓不下來Tech Giants Join the Scramble for Long-Term Capital, Keeping Long Bond Yields High
- 2026-08-21外銷訂單 979 億美元創高:88% 增量僅來自 2 類產品Export Orders Hit Record $97.9 Billion: Two Categories Account for 88% of Growth
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