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2026 年 8 月 23 日 星期日Sunday, August 23, 2026登入Log In訂閱Subscribe
市場快訊Market Brief

科技公司加入搶長期資金,長債殖利率因此壓不下來Tech Giants Join the Scramble for Long-Term Capital, Keeping Long Bond Yields High

2026 年 8 月 23 日 星期日Sunday, August 23, 2026免費閱讀Free to read

要聞速覽What’s News

市場Markets

科技公司開始跟財政部搶同一批錢Tech Giants Compete With the Treasury for the Same Capital研究單位估算 5 大雲端業者的公司債發行量,今年約在 2,500 億美元之譜、明年可能來到 4,000 億;長天期資金的需求同時來自企業與政府,期限溢價因此被推高。Research firms estimate bond issuance by the five major cloud providers will reach roughly $250 billion this year and could hit $400 billion next year. With corporate and sovereign borrowers seeking long-duration capital simultaneously, the term premium is being pushed higher. 讀全文 →Read →

承接力已經在下降Absorption Capacity Shows Signs of Straining到 7 月底為止發行的 91 檔雲端業者債券中,有 78 檔的殖利率高於發行當時;認購倍數則從 2 月的近 5 倍,一路降到 7 月的不足 2 倍,新券讓利也由 2 至 3 個基點放大到約 12 個基點。Of 91 cloud-provider bond tranches issued through the end of July, 78 are trading at yields above their issue levels. Bid-to-cover ratios declined from nearly 5x in February to under 2x in July, while new-issue concessions widened from 2 to 3 basis points to approximately 12 basis points. 讀全文 →Read →

本週台股收黑、韓股獨強Taiwan Stocks Pull Back While South Korea Advances近 5 日加權指數下跌 2.36%、櫃買下跌 3.98%;同期標普 500 下跌 2.02%、費城半導體下跌 5.27%,韓國KOSPI逆勢上漲 4.16%。Over the past five sessions, the TAIEX dropped 2.36% and the TPEx fell 3.98%. Over the same span, the S&P 500 slipped 2.02% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index lost 5.27%, while South Korea's KOSPI bucked the trend with a 4.16% gain. 讀全文 →Read →

油價創近月新高Crude Oil Touches One-Month High美國揚言對伊朗發動大規模經濟制裁,8 月 20 日西德州原油收 87.83 美元、布蘭特收 93.78 美元,兩者都創下自 7 月下旬以來的最高收盤。WTI crude settled at $87.83 and Brent settled at $93.78 on August 20, both marking their highest closes since late July, driven by U.S. threats of sweeping economic sanctions against Iran.

產業與企業Industry & Companies

外銷訂單的錢有 42%來自美國U.S. Accounts for 42% of Taiwan's Export Orders7 月接單來自美國的部分是 407.9 億美元、年增 89%,占整體大約 42%;分產品看,資訊通訊 333 億美元、年增 90%,電子類 413.2 億美元、年增 72%。July export orders from the U.S. reached $40.79 billion, up 89% year-over-year to account for roughly 42% of total orders. By segment, ICT orders totaled $33.3 billion, up 90%, while electronic products reached $41.32 billion, up 72%.

玻纖布缺口被形容為異常嚴重Fiberglass Fabric Deficit Called 'Abnormally Severe'高階玻纖布供不應求,第 2 代低介電產品的供需缺口估計已超過 6 成,T-Glass短缺同步擴大;上游宣布調漲銅箔基板售價,價格上行看到明年上半年。High-end fiberglass fabric faces severe shortages, with the supply-demand deficit for second-generation low-dielectric products estimated to exceed 60% alongside widening T-Glass constraints. Upstream suppliers raised CCL prices, with the pricing uptrend projected through the first half of next year. 讀全文 →Read →

美東航線單櫃突破 1 萬美元US East Coast Container Rates Exceed $10,000巴拿馬運河通行受限、亞歐港口壅塞,航商以空班與跳港調節船期,遠東到美東每 40 呎櫃報價來到 10,249 美元。Panama Canal transit caps and port congestion in Asia and Europe prompted ocean carriers to manage schedules through blank sailings and port skips, lifting Far East-to-US East Coast spot rates to $10,249 per 40-foot container. 讀全文 →Read →

美國最大零售商釋出消費降溫警訊Top U.S. Retailer Flags Consumer Slowdown美國最大零售商本季營收與獲利雙雙優於預期,但美國同店銷售只增加 2.6%、為 6 年來最慢,加上下 1 季展望不如市場預期,股價單日下跌 9.15%。Walmart beat quarterly revenue and profit forecasts, but U.S. same-store sales grew just 2.6%, the slowest pace in six years. An uninspiring forward outlook triggered a 9.15% single-day decline in its stock. 讀全文 →Read →

光通訊占比翻倍的樣本Optical Component Maker Doubles AI Exposure一家光學元件廠今年 1 至 7 月的人工智慧光學營收占比升至 45.5%,去年為 32.7%;第 2 季毛利率回到 31.5%,7 月營收年增 98%創單月新高。An optical component supplier saw AI optical revenue climb to 45.5% of total sales in the first seven months of the year, up from 32.7% last year. Second-quarter gross margin returned to 31.5%, and July revenue rose 98% year-over-year to a monthly record. 讀全文 →Read →

市場快照Market Snapshot

市場快照:當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)Change for the session (comparable rows only)−8%+8%0加權指數(近 5 日)TAIEX (5-Day)−2.36%44,933.7444,933.74櫃買指數(近 5 日)TPEx Index (5-Day)−3.98%389.96389.96標普 500 指數(近 5 日)S&P 500 (5-Day)−2.02%7,641.167,641.16費城半導體(近 5 日)費城半導體(近 5 日)PHLX Semiconductor (…−5.27%11,800.0211,800.02韓國KOSPI(近 5 日)KOSPI (5-Day)+4.16%6,852.586,852.58布蘭特原油Brent Crude+2.36%93.78 美元USD 93.78市場快照:當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)Change for the session (comparable rows only)−8%+8%0加權指數(…加權指數(近 5 日)TAIEX (5-Da…−2.36%44,933.7444,933.74櫃買指數(…櫃買指數(近 5 日)TPEx Index…−3.98%389.96389.96標普 500 指數…標普 500 指數(近 5 日)S&P 500 (5-…−2.02%7,641.167,641.16費城半導體…費城半導體(近 5 日)PHLX Semico…−5.27%11,800.0211,800.02韓國KOSPI(…韓國KOSPI(近 5 日)KOSPI (5-Da…+4.16%6,852.586,852.58布蘭特原油Brent Crude+2.36%93.78 美元USD 93.78
加權指數(近 5 日)TAIEX (5-Day)44,933.7444,933.745 日−2.36%、單日+0.48%5-day −2.36%, 1-day +0.48%
櫃買指數(近 5 日)TPEx Index (5-Day)389.96389.965 日−3.98%、單日+1.34%5-day −3.98%, 1-day +1.34%
標普 500 指數(近 5 日)S&P 500 (5-Day)7,641.167,641.165 日−2.02%5-day −2.02%
費城半導體(近 5 日)PHLX Semiconductor (5-Day)11,800.0211,800.025 日−5.27%,單日+0.53%5-day −5.27%, 1-day +0.53%
韓國KOSPI(近 5 日)KOSPI (5-Day)6,852.586,852.585 日+4.16%,單日+5.89%5-day +4.16%, 1-day +5.89%
布蘭特原油Brent Crude93.78 美元USD 93.78+2.36%,7 月 24 日以來新高+2.36%, highest since July 24
美國 30 年期公債殖利率U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield5.25%5.25%回購擴大後仍回升;10 年期 4.70%Rebounded after expanded buybacks; 10-year at 4.70%
遠東至美東運價Far East to US East Coast Freight Rate10,249 美元/40 呎櫃USD 10,249/FEU突破 1 萬美元,挑戰疫情高點Topped $10,000, testing pandemic highs

風險燈號Risk Dashboard

CSP資本支出與設備投資CSP Capex and Equipment Investment
明年估 1.0 兆至 1.1 兆美元,訂單端仍在加速Projected at $1.0T to $1.1T next year; order momentum continues to accelerate
長天期利率與期限溢價Long-Term Rates and Term Premium
科技債與公債爭奪長久期資金,承接力指標同步轉弱Tech debt competes with Treasuries for long-duration capital; absorption indicators weaken in tandem
聯準會與通膨The Fed and Inflation
前瞻指引弱化,市場改要求不確定性補償Forward guidance softens as markets demand compensation for macro uncertainty
地緣政治與油價Geopolitics and Oil
布蘭特 93.78 美元創近月新高,制裁力道升級Brent hits one-month high of $93.78 on escalations in sanction threats
終端消費End-Consumer Demand
美國零售同店銷售增速 6 年最低,低收入族群受壓U.S. retail same-store sales growth slows to six-year low, squeezing lower-income cohorts
材料缺口與漲價傳導Material Deficits and Price Pass-Through
玻纖布缺口逾 6 成,下游能否轉嫁待季報驗證Fiberglass fabric deficit tops 60%; downstream pass-through ability awaits quarterly earnings confirmation
當沖與籌碼溫度Day Trading and Market Breadth
近 5 日指數收黑、量能萎縮,資金集中少數族群Indices decline over past five sessions on thinning volume, concentrating capital in narrow pockets

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