AHI Journal
要聞速覽What’s News
8 月非農遠優於預期,降息門檻墊高August Payrolls Far Exceed Estimates, Raising the Bar for Cuts美國 8 月新增非農就業 16.2 萬人,市場原本只預期 5.5 萬人,前期數字並上修至 2.1 萬人;失業率維持 4.1%。US nonfarm payrolls added 162K in August against consensus expectations of 55K, while prior figures were revised up by 21K; unemployment held at 4.1%. 讀全文 →Read →
薪資成長掉到疫情以來最低Wage Growth Slows to Lowest Level Since the Pandemic8 月平均時薪年增 3.1%,是疫情低潮以來最低水準,且低於同期通膨率——就業人數與購買力出現方向背離。Average hourly earnings rose 3.1% year over year in August, the lowest since the pandemic trough and below current inflation—creating a divergence between jobs and purchasing power. 讀全文 →Read →
金融股單週大漲 7.4%Financials Surge 7.4% on the Week台股 9 月 4 日收 46,551.13 點、週漲 0.5%;金融類指數收 3,522.36 點、單週上漲 7.4%,電子類指數同期下跌 0.2%。The TAIEX closed at 46,551.13 on September 4, up 0.5% on the week; the financial sub-index closed at 3,522.36, up 7.4% weekly, while tech dropped 0.2% over the same period. 讀全文 →Read →
台股 8 月全球第一Taiwan Equities Lead Globally in August8 月台股上漲 7.0%,在主要市場中居首;費城半導體指數今年以來上漲 65.7%,台股上漲 60.7%。The TAIEX gained 7.0% in August, topping major global markets; year to date, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up 65.7% and the TAIEX is up 60.7%. 讀全文 →Read →
台灣製造業PMI連 11 個月擴張Taiwan Manufacturing PMI Expands for 11th Straight Month中華經濟研究院製造業採購經理人指數升至 62.5%,擴張速度是 2021 年秋季以來最快的一次;未來 6 個月展望指數 65.2%,已連續 8 個月站在 60%之上。The Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research manufacturing PMI rose to 62.5%, the fastest expansion since autumn 2021; the six-month outlook printed at 65.2%, holding above 60% for eight consecutive months. 讀全文 →Read →
磷化銦基板恢復供應Indium Phosphide Substrate Shipments Resume聯亞 8 月營收 5.20 億元、年增 180.9%;供應端限制解除後,基板不再是產能擴張的瓶頸,瓶頸轉移到後段產能。LandMark Optoelectronics reported August revenue of NT$520 million, up 180.9% year over year; with supply bottlenecks cleared, constraints have shifted to back-end capacity. 讀全文 →Read →
高階銅箔基板出貨墊高High-End CCL Shipments Advance台光電 8 月營收 201.46 億元、年增 129.85%,M9 等高階產品出貨比重上升,下半年仍有調價空間。Elite Material posted August revenue of NT$20.15 billion, up 129.85% year over year, driven by higher M9 product mix and room for further second-half price hikes. 讀全文 →Read →
大立光 8 月營收年減 16.23%Largan August Revenue Falls 16.23% Year Over Year大立光 8 月營收 50.12 億元、月增 2.76%但年減 16.23%,較賣方原估低 16.62%;摺疊機與可變光圈鏡頭是第 3 季的變數。Largan Precision reported August revenue of NT$5.01 billion, up 2.76% month over month but down 16.23% year over year, missing sell-side estimates by 16.62%; foldable models and variable-aperture lenses remain third-quarter swing factors. 讀全文 →Read →
美國線運價連 6 週上漲US Freight Rates Post Sixth Straight Weekly Gain上海出口集裝箱運價指數收 3,590.05 點、週漲 2.29%;美東線每FEU 10,324 美元,歐洲線則連續第 9 週走跌。The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index closed at 3,590.05 points, up 2.29% on the week; US East Coast rates reached USD 10,324 per FEU, while Europe rates dropped for a ninth straight week. 讀全文 →Read →
市場快照Market Snapshot
| 加權指數TAIEX | 46,551.1346,551.13 | 週漲 0.5%(今年以來+60.7%)+0.5% WoW (+60.7% YTD) |
| 電子類指數Electronic Sector Index | 2,943.102,943.10 | 週跌 0.2%-0.2% WoW |
| 金融類指數Financial Sector Index | 3,522.363,522.36 | 週漲 7.4%+7.4% WoW |
| 費城半導體指數Philadelphia Semiconductor Index | 11,735.2611,735.26 | 週漲 2.3%(今年以來+65.7%)+2.3% WoW (+65.7% YTD) |
| 道瓊工業指數Dow Jones Industrial Average | 53,414.2553,414.25 | 週跌 0.3%-0.3% WoW |
| 美國 8 月新增非農就業US August Nonfarm Payrolls | +16.2 萬人+162K | 市場預期+5.5 萬人;失業率 4.1%Consensus +55K; Unemployment 4.1% |
| 台灣製造業PMITaiwan Manufacturing PMI | 62.5%62.5% | 連續 11 個月擴張11 consecutive months of expansion |
| 上海出口集裝箱運價指數Shanghai Containerized Freight Index | 3,590.053,590.05 | 週漲 2.29%;美東線連 6 週上漲+2.29% WoW; US routes up 6 straight weeks |
風險燈號Risk Dashboard
其他日期Other Days
- 2026-09-18國巨訂單出貨比攀至 2.2 伺服器電容規格翻倍推升稼動率Yageo's Book-to-Bill Ratio Climbs to 2.2 as Server Capacitor Specs Double, Driving Utilization
- 2026-09-18CPO降規傳言引發CCL族群重挫 業者駁斥高階用料不減反增CPO Speculation Hits CCL Stocks; Suppliers Counter High-End Demand Keeps Expanding
- 2026-09-173 大雲端巨頭半數資產未上線 基礎建設受制於電網交付延宕Half of Big Cloud Assets Offline as Grid Delays Bottleneck Infrastructure
- 2026-09-17欣興ABF報價跳增 1 成 缺料緊繃直指 2030 年Unimicron Hikes ABF Prices 10% as Supply Bottlenecks Stretch to 2030
- 2026-09-16矽晶圓缺口預估擴至 24% 漢測凍資 8,600 億引爆產能卡位Silicon Wafer Deficit Projected to Widen to 24%; Han-Test IPO Freezes NT$860B as Capacity Race Ignites
- 2026-09-16MOSFET全線缺料壓抑伺服器電源放量 台達電第 3 季獲利遭機構下修Widespread MOSFET Shortages Stifle Server Power Shipments; Brokerages Cut Delta Electronics Q3 Earnings Forecasts
- 2026-09-15探針卡版圖位移與算力治理重估Probe-Card Market Realigns as AI Governance Spurs Valuation Reckoning
- 2026-09-14關鍵對手品質瑕疵退出,旺矽壟斷次世代算力探針卡份額Rival Yield Failure Leaves MPI With Near-Monopoly on Next-Gen Probe Cards
- 2026-09-14布蘭特原油破百美元遭遇外資 8.5 萬口期貨空單,台股失守 46,200 點的流動性估值修正Brent Breaches $100 as Foreign Short Positions Hit 85,000 Contracts; Taiex Breaches 46,200 in Liquidity Repricing
- 2026-09-11村田停產常規料退守AI高地:被動元件掀起 3 年長週期大洗牌Murata Halts Legacy MLCC Lines to Fortify AI Stronghold, Triggering 3-Year Cycle Reshuffle
- 2026-09-11原油破百美元與出口 800 億交火:台股在武裝態中面臨雙向拉扯Crude Breaks $100 as Exports Hit $80 Billion: Taiwan Equities Caught in Crossfire
- 2026-09-10出口破天荒衝破 800 億美元,台股卻因百元油價退守 4 萬七Taiwan Exports Smash $80B Record, but $100 Oil Pushes TAIEX Below 47,000
- 2026-09-09距前高 289 點,成交量卻掉到 0.92 兆Taiwan Shares Sit 289 Points Below Record as Turnover Dries to NT$920 Billion
- 2026-09-08同一波記憶體漲價:大立光降評,華邦電創新高The Same Memory Price Surge: Largan Downgraded, Winbond Hits Record High
- 2026-09-05反彈 693 點站回 5 日線,量能創 8 月底新低Taiex Jumps 693 Points to Reclaim 5-Day Line on Thinnest Volume Since Late August
- 2026-09-0495 美元油價擊落台股 1,091 點$95 Oil Knocks 1,091 Points Off Taiex
- 2026-09-03金融指數漲 2.19% 創高,櫃買跌破季線Financials Surge 2.19% to Record High as OTC Index Slips Below Quarterly Line
- 2026-09-034.8% 殖利率壓過 950 億美元 AI 積壓訂單A 4.8% Yield Outweighs $95 Billion in AI Backlogs
- 2026-08-31「很難把金融狀況說成限制性的」'Hard to Describe Financial Conditions as Restrictive'
- 2026-08-27手握 962 億美元與 2 兆訂單,毛利率仍連跌 3 季Armed With $96.2 Billion and $2 Trillion in Backlog, Gross Margin Still Falls for Three Quarters
- 2026-08-26油價跌 3.1% 的那一天,市場把通膨的問題延後了The Day Oil Fell 3.1%, Markets Postponed the Inflation Question
- 2026-08-251.1 兆美元的租賃承諾,還沒進到資產負債表$1.1 Trillion in Lease Commitments Has Yet to Hit the Balance Sheet
- 2026-08-24當龍頭也要漲價:記憶體的帳單開始往終端移動When the Market Leader Raises Prices: Memory Costs Land on the End Customer
- 2026-08-23科技公司加入搶長期資金,長債殖利率因此壓不下來Tech Giants Join the Scramble for Long-Term Capital, Keeping Long Bond Yields High
- 2026-08-21外銷訂單 979 億美元創高:88% 增量僅來自 2 類產品Export Orders Hit Record $97.9 Billion: Two Categories Account for 88% of Growth
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