AHI Journal

2026 年 9 月 7 日 星期一Monday, September 07, 2026登入Log In訂閱Subscribe
市場快訊Market Brief

就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing

2026 年 9 月 7 日 星期一Monday, September 07, 2026免費閱讀Free to read

要聞速覽What’s News

市場Markets

8 月非農遠優於預期,降息門檻墊高August Payrolls Far Exceed Estimates, Raising the Bar for Cuts美國 8 月新增非農就業 16.2 萬人,市場原本只預期 5.5 萬人,前期數字並上修至 2.1 萬人;失業率維持 4.1%。US nonfarm payrolls added 162K in August against consensus expectations of 55K, while prior figures were revised up by 21K; unemployment held at 4.1%. 讀全文 →Read →

薪資成長掉到疫情以來最低Wage Growth Slows to Lowest Level Since the Pandemic8 月平均時薪年增 3.1%,是疫情低潮以來最低水準,且低於同期通膨率——就業人數與購買力出現方向背離。Average hourly earnings rose 3.1% year over year in August, the lowest since the pandemic trough and below current inflation—creating a divergence between jobs and purchasing power. 讀全文 →Read →

金融股單週大漲 7.4%Financials Surge 7.4% on the Week台股 9 月 4 日收 46,551.13 點、週漲 0.5%;金融類指數收 3,522.36 點、單週上漲 7.4%,電子類指數同期下跌 0.2%。The TAIEX closed at 46,551.13 on September 4, up 0.5% on the week; the financial sub-index closed at 3,522.36, up 7.4% weekly, while tech dropped 0.2% over the same period. 讀全文 →Read →

台股 8 月全球第一Taiwan Equities Lead Globally in August8 月台股上漲 7.0%,在主要市場中居首;費城半導體指數今年以來上漲 65.7%,台股上漲 60.7%。The TAIEX gained 7.0% in August, topping major global markets; year to date, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up 65.7% and the TAIEX is up 60.7%. 讀全文 →Read →

產業與企業Industry & Companies

台灣製造業PMI連 11 個月擴張Taiwan Manufacturing PMI Expands for 11th Straight Month中華經濟研究院製造業採購經理人指數升至 62.5%,擴張速度是 2021 年秋季以來最快的一次;未來 6 個月展望指數 65.2%,已連續 8 個月站在 60%之上。The Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research manufacturing PMI rose to 62.5%, the fastest expansion since autumn 2021; the six-month outlook printed at 65.2%, holding above 60% for eight consecutive months. 讀全文 →Read →

磷化銦基板恢復供應Indium Phosphide Substrate Shipments Resume聯亞 8 月營收 5.20 億元、年增 180.9%;供應端限制解除後,基板不再是產能擴張的瓶頸,瓶頸轉移到後段產能。LandMark Optoelectronics reported August revenue of NT$520 million, up 180.9% year over year; with supply bottlenecks cleared, constraints have shifted to back-end capacity. 讀全文 →Read →

高階銅箔基板出貨墊高High-End CCL Shipments Advance台光電 8 月營收 201.46 億元、年增 129.85%,M9 等高階產品出貨比重上升,下半年仍有調價空間。Elite Material posted August revenue of NT$20.15 billion, up 129.85% year over year, driven by higher M9 product mix and room for further second-half price hikes. 讀全文 →Read →

大立光 8 月營收年減 16.23%Largan August Revenue Falls 16.23% Year Over Year大立光 8 月營收 50.12 億元、月增 2.76%但年減 16.23%,較賣方原估低 16.62%;摺疊機與可變光圈鏡頭是第 3 季的變數。Largan Precision reported August revenue of NT$5.01 billion, up 2.76% month over month but down 16.23% year over year, missing sell-side estimates by 16.62%; foldable models and variable-aperture lenses remain third-quarter swing factors. 讀全文 →Read →

美國線運價連 6 週上漲US Freight Rates Post Sixth Straight Weekly Gain上海出口集裝箱運價指數收 3,590.05 點、週漲 2.29%;美東線每FEU 10,324 美元,歐洲線則連續第 9 週走跌。The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index closed at 3,590.05 points, up 2.29% on the week; US East Coast rates reached USD 10,324 per FEU, while Europe rates dropped for a ninth straight week. 讀全文 →Read →

市場快照Market Snapshot

加權指數TAIEX46,551.1346,551.13週漲 0.5%(今年以來+60.7%)+0.5% WoW (+60.7% YTD)
電子類指數Electronic Sector Index2,943.102,943.10週跌 0.2%-0.2% WoW
金融類指數Financial Sector Index3,522.363,522.36週漲 7.4%+7.4% WoW
費城半導體指數Philadelphia Semiconductor Index11,735.2611,735.26週漲 2.3%(今年以來+65.7%)+2.3% WoW (+65.7% YTD)
道瓊工業指數Dow Jones Industrial Average53,414.2553,414.25週跌 0.3%-0.3% WoW
美國 8 月新增非農就業US August Nonfarm Payrolls+16.2 萬人+162K市場預期+5.5 萬人;失業率 4.1%Consensus +55K; Unemployment 4.1%
台灣製造業PMITaiwan Manufacturing PMI62.5%62.5%連續 11 個月擴張11 consecutive months of expansion
上海出口集裝箱運價指數Shanghai Containerized Freight Index3,590.053,590.05週漲 2.29%;美東線連 6 週上漲+2.29% WoW; US routes up 6 straight weeks

風險燈號Risk Dashboard

CSP資本支出與設備投資CSP Capex and Equipment Investment
法說會口徑一致上修,晶圓代工與伺服器產能供不應求Guidance revised up across earnings calls; foundry and server capacity remain tightly constrained
聯準會與通膨Fed Policy and Inflation
非農 16.2 萬人遠優預期、油價走高,政策更可能維持限制性甚至再升息Nonfarm payrolls at 162K beat forecasts and oil climbs, leaning policy toward restrictive stance or further hikes
外資期貨淨空單Foreign Net Short Futures Positions
進場條件之一,9 月第 1 週仍未見改善Key entry trigger; showed no improvement in the first week of September
融資餘額Margin Debt Balance
尚未接近警戒水位Remains below warning thresholds
地緣政治與油價Geopolitics and Oil Prices
中東衝突推升能源成本,並經由通膨影響利率路徑Middle East tensions drive energy costs higher, altering rate paths via inflation
記憶體通膨傳導Memory Price Pass-Through
上游報價續揚,下游消費性零組件承壓Upstream price increases continue, squeezing downstream consumer electronics components
當沖與籌碼溫度Day-Trading and Market Sentiment
成交量能萎縮,指數靠類股輪動維持Turnover is contracting as the index relies on sector rotation to stay aloft

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