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2026 年 8 月 31 日 星期一Monday, August 31, 2026登入Log In訂閱Subscribe
市場快訊Market Brief

「很難把金融狀況說成限制性的」'Hard to Describe Financial Conditions as Restrictive'

2026 年 8 月 31 日 星期一Monday, August 31, 2026免費閱讀Free to read

要聞速覽What’s News

市場Markets

聯準會主席首場傑克森霍爾談話偏鷹Fed Chair Delivers Hawkish Jackson Hole Debut談話重申 2%通膨目標,並指出若物價未持續降溫仍有工作要做;市場對 9 月升息的定價由約 35%跳升到 5 成以上。Remarks reaffirmed the 2% inflation target and noted more work remains if price pressures fail to cool sustainably, sending September rate hike odds from roughly 35% to over 50%. 讀全文 →Read →

費半單日重挫 3.47%SOX Drops 3.47% in Single-Session Plunge費城半導體指數 8 月 28 日下跌 412.5 點、跌幅 3.47%;標普 500 下跌 0.25%、那斯達克下跌 0.52%,道瓊幾乎持平。The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 412.5 points, or 3.47%, on Aug. 28; the S&P 500 slipped 0.25%, the Nasdaq lost 0.52%, and the Dow ended virtually flat. 讀全文 →Read →

台股逆勢收紅、量能站上 1.069 兆TAIEX Defies Slump to Close Higher on NT$1,069.0 Billion Volume加權指數 8 月 28 日收 46,331 點、上漲 0.77%,成交量 1.069 兆元,站回所有均線之上;韓國KOSPI同日下跌 1.79%。The TAIEX closed at 46,331 on Aug. 28, up 0.77% on turnover of NT$1,069.0 billion to reclaim all key moving averages, while South Korea's KOSPI shed 1.79%. 讀全文 →Read →

通膨高於目標已 65 個月Inflation Exceeds Target for 65 Consecutive Months聯準會偏好的個人消費支出物價指數年增 3.7%,近 6 個月的年化速度在 4%以上;199 個細項中有 54%的漲幅超過 3%。The Fed's preferred PCE price index rose 3.7% year-over-year, running at an annualized pace above 4% over the past six months, with 54% of 199 components advancing over 3%. 讀全文 →Read →

產業與企業Industry & Companies

功率半導體傳第 3 波漲價Power Semiconductor Makers Eye Third Wave of Price Hikes市場消息指 10 月起可能對未簽約部分調價 10% 到 15%,部分功率元件的交期已排到 52 週之後。Market reports indicate uncontracted orders could see 10% to 15% price increases starting in October, with lead times on select power discretes pushed past 52 weeks. 讀全文 →Read →

AI機櫃功率往 600kW推進AI Server Racks Advance Toward 600kW Density單櫃用電從約 120kW往 600kW、甚至 100 萬瓦推進;電力轉換的段數與規格一起上調,金氧半場效電晶體、二極體、絕緣閘雙極電晶體與碳化矽的用量隨之增加。Power consumption per rack is escalating from roughly 120kW toward 600kW and into megawatt territory, lifting power conversion stages and boosting content for MOSFETs, diodes, IGBTs, and SiC devices. 讀全文 →Read →

共同封裝光學新增第二道測試關卡Co-Packaged Optics Adds Secondary Test Insertion第二道測試安排在混合鍵合之後、最終切割之前,要檢查直流特性、接點導通、光電互轉與高速訊號,把良率管理延伸到鍵合完成之後。A second test insertion placed after hybrid bonding and before final dicing checks DC characteristics, contact continuity, optoelectronic conversion, and high-speed signaling, extending yield management downstream. 讀全文 →Read →

封測廠第 3 季展望微幅下修OSAT Trims Third-Quarter Outlook京元電子第 2 季營收 111.4 億元、季增 9.3%、年增 33.2%,低於賣方預期;第 3 季展望因人工智慧繪圖晶片客戶的設計時程而下修。King Yuan Electronics (KYEC) posted second-quarter revenue of NT$11.14 billion, up 9.3% sequentially and 33.2% year-over-year, missing sell-side estimates; third-quarter guidance was trimmed due to AI GPU customer design timelines. 讀全文 →Read →

同日 4 家外資更新同一檔載板股Four Foreign Brokers Issue Same-Day Updates on Single Substrate Maker8 月 31 日有 4 家外資機構同時發布同一檔ABF載板廠的更新報告——研究流量本身,往往就是題材熱度的溫度計。On Aug. 31, four foreign brokerages simultaneously issued updated research reports on the same ABF substrate supplier—an influx of research traffic that itself gauges market heat.

市場快照Market Snapshot

市場快照:當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)Change for the session (comparable rows only)−4%+4%0加權指數TAIEX+0.77%46,33146,331費城半導體指數費城半導體指數Philadelphia Semicon…−3.47%11,47011,470那斯達克指數Nasdaq Composite−0.52%26,40226,402韓國KOSPIKOSPI−1.79%6,788.96,788.9市場快照:當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)Change for the session (comparable rows only)−4%+4%0加權指數TAIEX+0.77%46,33146,331費城半導體…費城半導體指數Philadelphi…−3.47%11,47011,470那斯達克指數那斯達克指數Nasdaq Comp…−0.52%26,40226,402韓國KOSPIKOSPI−1.79%6,788.96,788.9
加權指數TAIEX46,33146,331+0.77%,站回所有均線+0.77%, reclaimed all moving averages
成交金額(上市)TSEC Trading Value1.069 兆元NT$1,069.0 billion量能回到兆元之上Turnover returns above NT$1 trillion threshold
費城半導體指數Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX)11,47011,470−412.5(−3.47%)−412.5 (−3.47%)
那斯達克指數Nasdaq Composite26,40226,402−0.52%(道瓊−0.02%)−0.52% (Dow Jones −0.02%)
韓國KOSPIKOSPI6,788.96,788.9−1.79%(日經+0.41%)−1.79% (Nikkei 225 +0.41%)
9 月升息機率September Rate Hike Probability5 成以上Over 50%談話前約 35%Roughly 35% prior to speech
個人消費支出物價指數PCE Price Index年增 3.7%Up 3.7% YoY近 6 個月年化在 4%以上Past six months annualized above 4%
通膨高於 2%目標Inflation Above 2% Target65 個月65 months199 個細項中 54%漲幅逾 3%54% of 199 sub-items rose over 3%

風險燈號Risk Dashboard

CSP資本支出與設備投資CSP Capex and Equipment Investment
企業設備與無形資產投資 4 季成長約 9%,逾半來自AI基礎建設Enterprise equipment and intangibles investment grew ~9% over four quarters, over half from AI infrastructure
聯準會與通膨Federal Reserve and Inflation
9 月升息機率升破 5 成;PCE年增 3.7%、54%細項漲逾 3%September hike odds topped 50%; PCE up 3.7% YoY with 54% of sub-items gaining over 3%
外資期貨淨空單Foreign Institutional Net Short Futures
進場條件之一,仍未改善A primary entry condition, remains unimproved
融資餘額Margin Debt Balance
尚未接近警戒水位Has not approached warning thresholds
地緣政治與油價Geopolitics and Oil Prices
能源價格在 8 月底尚未成為主導變數,9 月起再度升溫Energy prices were not a primary driver in late August, but momentum builds heading into September
記憶體通膨傳導Memory Inflation Pass-Through
已可在封測廠的通訊類營收上讀到終端銷量影響End-market volume headwinds already visible in OSAT communications segment revenues
當沖與籌碼溫度Day Trading and Market Temperature
量能 1.069 兆元,上漲伴隨成交放大Turnover at NT$1,069.0 billion; price gains accompanied by volume expansion

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