AHI Journal
要聞速覽What’s News
聯準會主席首場傑克森霍爾談話偏鷹Fed Chair Delivers Hawkish Jackson Hole Debut談話重申 2%通膨目標,並指出若物價未持續降溫仍有工作要做;市場對 9 月升息的定價由約 35%跳升到 5 成以上。Remarks reaffirmed the 2% inflation target and noted more work remains if price pressures fail to cool sustainably, sending September rate hike odds from roughly 35% to over 50%. 讀全文 →Read →
費半單日重挫 3.47%SOX Drops 3.47% in Single-Session Plunge費城半導體指數 8 月 28 日下跌 412.5 點、跌幅 3.47%;標普 500 下跌 0.25%、那斯達克下跌 0.52%,道瓊幾乎持平。The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 412.5 points, or 3.47%, on Aug. 28; the S&P 500 slipped 0.25%, the Nasdaq lost 0.52%, and the Dow ended virtually flat. 讀全文 →Read →
台股逆勢收紅、量能站上 1.069 兆TAIEX Defies Slump to Close Higher on NT$1,069.0 Billion Volume加權指數 8 月 28 日收 46,331 點、上漲 0.77%,成交量 1.069 兆元,站回所有均線之上;韓國KOSPI同日下跌 1.79%。The TAIEX closed at 46,331 on Aug. 28, up 0.77% on turnover of NT$1,069.0 billion to reclaim all key moving averages, while South Korea's KOSPI shed 1.79%. 讀全文 →Read →
通膨高於目標已 65 個月Inflation Exceeds Target for 65 Consecutive Months聯準會偏好的個人消費支出物價指數年增 3.7%,近 6 個月的年化速度在 4%以上;199 個細項中有 54%的漲幅超過 3%。The Fed's preferred PCE price index rose 3.7% year-over-year, running at an annualized pace above 4% over the past six months, with 54% of 199 components advancing over 3%. 讀全文 →Read →
功率半導體傳第 3 波漲價Power Semiconductor Makers Eye Third Wave of Price Hikes市場消息指 10 月起可能對未簽約部分調價 10% 到 15%,部分功率元件的交期已排到 52 週之後。Market reports indicate uncontracted orders could see 10% to 15% price increases starting in October, with lead times on select power discretes pushed past 52 weeks. 讀全文 →Read →
AI機櫃功率往 600kW推進AI Server Racks Advance Toward 600kW Density單櫃用電從約 120kW往 600kW、甚至 100 萬瓦推進;電力轉換的段數與規格一起上調,金氧半場效電晶體、二極體、絕緣閘雙極電晶體與碳化矽的用量隨之增加。Power consumption per rack is escalating from roughly 120kW toward 600kW and into megawatt territory, lifting power conversion stages and boosting content for MOSFETs, diodes, IGBTs, and SiC devices. 讀全文 →Read →
共同封裝光學新增第二道測試關卡Co-Packaged Optics Adds Secondary Test Insertion第二道測試安排在混合鍵合之後、最終切割之前,要檢查直流特性、接點導通、光電互轉與高速訊號,把良率管理延伸到鍵合完成之後。A second test insertion placed after hybrid bonding and before final dicing checks DC characteristics, contact continuity, optoelectronic conversion, and high-speed signaling, extending yield management downstream. 讀全文 →Read →
封測廠第 3 季展望微幅下修OSAT Trims Third-Quarter Outlook京元電子第 2 季營收 111.4 億元、季增 9.3%、年增 33.2%,低於賣方預期;第 3 季展望因人工智慧繪圖晶片客戶的設計時程而下修。King Yuan Electronics (KYEC) posted second-quarter revenue of NT$11.14 billion, up 9.3% sequentially and 33.2% year-over-year, missing sell-side estimates; third-quarter guidance was trimmed due to AI GPU customer design timelines. 讀全文 →Read →
同日 4 家外資更新同一檔載板股Four Foreign Brokers Issue Same-Day Updates on Single Substrate Maker8 月 31 日有 4 家外資機構同時發布同一檔ABF載板廠的更新報告——研究流量本身,往往就是題材熱度的溫度計。On Aug. 31, four foreign brokerages simultaneously issued updated research reports on the same ABF substrate supplier—an influx of research traffic that itself gauges market heat.
市場快照Market Snapshot
| 加權指數TAIEX | 46,33146,331 | +0.77%,站回所有均線+0.77%, reclaimed all moving averages |
| 成交金額(上市)TSEC Trading Value | 1.069 兆元NT$1,069.0 billion | 量能回到兆元之上Turnover returns above NT$1 trillion threshold |
| 費城半導體指數Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) | 11,47011,470 | −412.5(−3.47%)−412.5 (−3.47%) |
| 那斯達克指數Nasdaq Composite | 26,40226,402 | −0.52%(道瓊−0.02%)−0.52% (Dow Jones −0.02%) |
| 韓國KOSPIKOSPI | 6,788.96,788.9 | −1.79%(日經+0.41%)−1.79% (Nikkei 225 +0.41%) |
| 9 月升息機率September Rate Hike Probability | 5 成以上Over 50% | 談話前約 35%Roughly 35% prior to speech |
| 個人消費支出物價指數PCE Price Index | 年增 3.7%Up 3.7% YoY | 近 6 個月年化在 4%以上Past six months annualized above 4% |
| 通膨高於 2%目標Inflation Above 2% Target | 65 個月65 months | 199 個細項中 54%漲幅逾 3%54% of 199 sub-items rose over 3% |
風險燈號Risk Dashboard
其他日期Other Days
- 2026-09-18國巨訂單出貨比攀至 2.2 伺服器電容規格翻倍推升稼動率Yageo's Book-to-Bill Ratio Climbs to 2.2 as Server Capacitor Specs Double, Driving Utilization
- 2026-09-18CPO降規傳言引發CCL族群重挫 業者駁斥高階用料不減反增CPO Speculation Hits CCL Stocks; Suppliers Counter High-End Demand Keeps Expanding
- 2026-09-173 大雲端巨頭半數資產未上線 基礎建設受制於電網交付延宕Half of Big Cloud Assets Offline as Grid Delays Bottleneck Infrastructure
- 2026-09-17欣興ABF報價跳增 1 成 缺料緊繃直指 2030 年Unimicron Hikes ABF Prices 10% as Supply Bottlenecks Stretch to 2030
- 2026-09-16矽晶圓缺口預估擴至 24% 漢測凍資 8,600 億引爆產能卡位Silicon Wafer Deficit Projected to Widen to 24%; Han-Test IPO Freezes NT$860B as Capacity Race Ignites
- 2026-09-16MOSFET全線缺料壓抑伺服器電源放量 台達電第 3 季獲利遭機構下修Widespread MOSFET Shortages Stifle Server Power Shipments; Brokerages Cut Delta Electronics Q3 Earnings Forecasts
- 2026-09-15探針卡版圖位移與算力治理重估Probe-Card Market Realigns as AI Governance Spurs Valuation Reckoning
- 2026-09-14關鍵對手品質瑕疵退出,旺矽壟斷次世代算力探針卡份額Rival Yield Failure Leaves MPI With Near-Monopoly on Next-Gen Probe Cards
- 2026-09-14布蘭特原油破百美元遭遇外資 8.5 萬口期貨空單,台股失守 46,200 點的流動性估值修正Brent Breaches $100 as Foreign Short Positions Hit 85,000 Contracts; Taiex Breaches 46,200 in Liquidity Repricing
- 2026-09-11村田停產常規料退守AI高地:被動元件掀起 3 年長週期大洗牌Murata Halts Legacy MLCC Lines to Fortify AI Stronghold, Triggering 3-Year Cycle Reshuffle
- 2026-09-11原油破百美元與出口 800 億交火:台股在武裝態中面臨雙向拉扯Crude Breaks $100 as Exports Hit $80 Billion: Taiwan Equities Caught in Crossfire
- 2026-09-10出口破天荒衝破 800 億美元,台股卻因百元油價退守 4 萬七Taiwan Exports Smash $80B Record, but $100 Oil Pushes TAIEX Below 47,000
- 2026-09-09距前高 289 點,成交量卻掉到 0.92 兆Taiwan Shares Sit 289 Points Below Record as Turnover Dries to NT$920 Billion
- 2026-09-08同一波記憶體漲價:大立光降評,華邦電創新高The Same Memory Price Surge: Largan Downgraded, Winbond Hits Record High
- 2026-09-07就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing
- 2026-09-05反彈 693 點站回 5 日線,量能創 8 月底新低Taiex Jumps 693 Points to Reclaim 5-Day Line on Thinnest Volume Since Late August
- 2026-09-0495 美元油價擊落台股 1,091 點$95 Oil Knocks 1,091 Points Off Taiex
- 2026-09-03金融指數漲 2.19% 創高,櫃買跌破季線Financials Surge 2.19% to Record High as OTC Index Slips Below Quarterly Line
- 2026-09-034.8% 殖利率壓過 950 億美元 AI 積壓訂單A 4.8% Yield Outweighs $95 Billion in AI Backlogs
- 2026-08-27手握 962 億美元與 2 兆訂單,毛利率仍連跌 3 季Armed With $96.2 Billion and $2 Trillion in Backlog, Gross Margin Still Falls for Three Quarters
- 2026-08-26油價跌 3.1% 的那一天,市場把通膨的問題延後了The Day Oil Fell 3.1%, Markets Postponed the Inflation Question
- 2026-08-251.1 兆美元的租賃承諾,還沒進到資產負債表$1.1 Trillion in Lease Commitments Has Yet to Hit the Balance Sheet
- 2026-08-24當龍頭也要漲價:記憶體的帳單開始往終端移動When the Market Leader Raises Prices: Memory Costs Land on the End Customer
- 2026-08-23科技公司加入搶長期資金,長債殖利率因此壓不下來Tech Giants Join the Scramble for Long-Term Capital, Keeping Long Bond Yields High
- 2026-08-21外銷訂單 979 億美元創高:88% 增量僅來自 2 類產品Export Orders Hit Record $97.9 Billion: Two Categories Account for 88% of Growth
兩種讀法,一份判斷Two ways to read. One judgment.
每個交易日早晨,把數十份券商研究讀成一份有觀點的報紙。免費版每個交易日更新:電子報敘事、市場快訊、每天 3 篇新聞全文與籌碼摘要。訂閱版開放全部新聞、日報與深度專題全文,以及籌碼快訊完整版與檢查點兌現表。Every trading morning, dozens of broker research notes read into one newspaper with a point of view. Free readers get the edition’s narratives, the Market Brief, 3 news articles a day in full and a flows summary; subscribers get every news article, the full daily and features, the full flows desk and the checkpoint scorecard.
免費層Free
- 免費電子報:每個交易日一期:每篇文章的長版敘事(約 1,000 字)、要聞速覽與風險燈號Free edition: one issue every trading day — a long-form narrative of each article (about 1,000 words), What’s News and the risk dashboard
- 市場快訊:當日要聞速覽全文、市場快照與漲跌圖Market Brief: the day’s What’s News in full, the market snapshot and a movers chart
- 每天 3 篇新聞全文:免費電子報 1 篇、政治新聞 1 篇、台股標的快訊 1 篇;其餘篇目看得到標題與導言3 news articles a day in full: the free edition, 1 politics and 1 Taiwan stock briefs; headlines and summaries for the rest
- 標的快訊數據看板:營收速報、今日公布營收、公司速覽Stock data boards: revenue flash, today’s revenue releases and company snapshots
- 籌碼快訊摘要:三大法人、投信投本比、族群買賣超排名(前 10 名)Flows summary: institutional, investment-trust and sector net-buying rankings (top 10)
- 導讀與存檔:深度專題導讀、個股頁(走勢與月營收)、週回顧Briefings and archive: feature briefings, stock pages (price and monthly revenue) and the weekly review
訂閱層Subscriber
免費層全部內容,另加:Everything in Free, plus:
- 日報全文:頭條與 5 篇專題、本刊觀點與市場態判定、評等動向板、行事曆、檢查點The full daily: the lead and five features, Editor’s View with the market-state call, ratings board, calendar and checkpoints
- 深度專題全文:數據表、時間序列與附錄Features in full: data tables, time series and appendices
- 全部新聞整合報導:政治、總經、科技、台股標的快訊每一篇全文,附本刊觀點與接下來看什麼Every news article in full: politics, macro, technology and Taiwan stock briefs, each with our view and what to watch next
- 籌碼快訊完整版:贏家分點買盤與優先順序、成本與連續買超、分點檔案與搜尋、優質大戶分點、ETF 買賣超與申購贖回、每日籌碼重點整理The full flows desk: winning-branch buying with a priority order, cost and buying streaks, branch profiles and search, notable large-trader branches, ETF flows and creations/redemptions, and a daily flows digest
- 每週檢查點兌現表:本刊寫下的檢查點逐條對帳Weekly checkpoint scorecard: every checkpoint we wrote, reconciled line by line
- 帳號:同一瀏覽器登入一次即可,閱讀時自動延長登入、免重複收信;同時最多 3 台裝置,可用 Email 登入碼或 Passkey(指紋/臉部辨識)登入Account: sign in once per browser and stay signed in as you keep reading, with no repeat emails; up to 3 devices at a time, using an emailed code or a passkey (fingerprint or face)
以電子郵件建立訂閱,開通後每月續期;可隨時於帳戶頁終止,終止後不再收費。Subscribe with your email. It renews each month, and you can end it any time from your account page.付款前會請你勾選同意Before payment you will be asked to agree to the 使用條款terms of use與 and the 免責聲明與資料授權說明disclaimer and data licence。.