AHI Journal
要聞速覽What’s News
科技公司開始跟財政部搶同一批錢Tech Giants Compete With the Treasury for the Same Capital研究單位估算 5 大雲端業者的公司債發行量,今年約在 2,500 億美元之譜、明年可能來到 4,000 億;長天期資金的需求同時來自企業與政府,期限溢價因此被推高。Research firms estimate bond issuance by the five major cloud providers will reach roughly $250 billion this year and could hit $400 billion next year. With corporate and sovereign borrowers seeking long-duration capital simultaneously, the term premium is being pushed higher. 讀全文 →Read →
承接力已經在下降Absorption Capacity Shows Signs of Straining到 7 月底為止發行的 91 檔雲端業者債券中,有 78 檔的殖利率高於發行當時;認購倍數則從 2 月的近 5 倍,一路降到 7 月的不足 2 倍,新券讓利也由 2 至 3 個基點放大到約 12 個基點。Of 91 cloud-provider bond tranches issued through the end of July, 78 are trading at yields above their issue levels. Bid-to-cover ratios declined from nearly 5x in February to under 2x in July, while new-issue concessions widened from 2 to 3 basis points to approximately 12 basis points. 讀全文 →Read →
本週台股收黑、韓股獨強Taiwan Stocks Pull Back While South Korea Advances近 5 日加權指數下跌 2.36%、櫃買下跌 3.98%;同期標普 500 下跌 2.02%、費城半導體下跌 5.27%,韓國KOSPI逆勢上漲 4.16%。Over the past five sessions, the TAIEX dropped 2.36% and the TPEx fell 3.98%. Over the same span, the S&P 500 slipped 2.02% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index lost 5.27%, while South Korea's KOSPI bucked the trend with a 4.16% gain. 讀全文 →Read →
油價創近月新高Crude Oil Touches One-Month High美國揚言對伊朗發動大規模經濟制裁,8 月 20 日西德州原油收 87.83 美元、布蘭特收 93.78 美元,兩者都創下自 7 月下旬以來的最高收盤。WTI crude settled at $87.83 and Brent settled at $93.78 on August 20, both marking their highest closes since late July, driven by U.S. threats of sweeping economic sanctions against Iran.
外銷訂單的錢有 42%來自美國U.S. Accounts for 42% of Taiwan's Export Orders7 月接單來自美國的部分是 407.9 億美元、年增 89%,占整體大約 42%;分產品看,資訊通訊 333 億美元、年增 90%,電子類 413.2 億美元、年增 72%。July export orders from the U.S. reached $40.79 billion, up 89% year-over-year to account for roughly 42% of total orders. By segment, ICT orders totaled $33.3 billion, up 90%, while electronic products reached $41.32 billion, up 72%.
玻纖布缺口被形容為異常嚴重Fiberglass Fabric Deficit Called 'Abnormally Severe'高階玻纖布供不應求,第 2 代低介電產品的供需缺口估計已超過 6 成,T-Glass短缺同步擴大;上游宣布調漲銅箔基板售價,價格上行看到明年上半年。High-end fiberglass fabric faces severe shortages, with the supply-demand deficit for second-generation low-dielectric products estimated to exceed 60% alongside widening T-Glass constraints. Upstream suppliers raised CCL prices, with the pricing uptrend projected through the first half of next year. 讀全文 →Read →
美東航線單櫃突破 1 萬美元US East Coast Container Rates Exceed $10,000巴拿馬運河通行受限、亞歐港口壅塞,航商以空班與跳港調節船期,遠東到美東每 40 呎櫃報價來到 10,249 美元。Panama Canal transit caps and port congestion in Asia and Europe prompted ocean carriers to manage schedules through blank sailings and port skips, lifting Far East-to-US East Coast spot rates to $10,249 per 40-foot container. 讀全文 →Read →
美國最大零售商釋出消費降溫警訊Top U.S. Retailer Flags Consumer Slowdown美國最大零售商本季營收與獲利雙雙優於預期,但美國同店銷售只增加 2.6%、為 6 年來最慢,加上下 1 季展望不如市場預期,股價單日下跌 9.15%。Walmart beat quarterly revenue and profit forecasts, but U.S. same-store sales grew just 2.6%, the slowest pace in six years. An uninspiring forward outlook triggered a 9.15% single-day decline in its stock. 讀全文 →Read →
光通訊占比翻倍的樣本Optical Component Maker Doubles AI Exposure一家光學元件廠今年 1 至 7 月的人工智慧光學營收占比升至 45.5%,去年為 32.7%;第 2 季毛利率回到 31.5%,7 月營收年增 98%創單月新高。An optical component supplier saw AI optical revenue climb to 45.5% of total sales in the first seven months of the year, up from 32.7% last year. Second-quarter gross margin returned to 31.5%, and July revenue rose 98% year-over-year to a monthly record. 讀全文 →Read →
市場快照Market Snapshot
| 加權指數(近 5 日)TAIEX (5-Day) | 44,933.7444,933.74 | 5 日−2.36%、單日+0.48%5-day −2.36%, 1-day +0.48% |
| 櫃買指數(近 5 日)TPEx Index (5-Day) | 389.96389.96 | 5 日−3.98%、單日+1.34%5-day −3.98%, 1-day +1.34% |
| 標普 500 指數(近 5 日)S&P 500 (5-Day) | 7,641.167,641.16 | 5 日−2.02%5-day −2.02% |
| 費城半導體(近 5 日)PHLX Semiconductor (5-Day) | 11,800.0211,800.02 | 5 日−5.27%,單日+0.53%5-day −5.27%, 1-day +0.53% |
| 韓國KOSPI(近 5 日)KOSPI (5-Day) | 6,852.586,852.58 | 5 日+4.16%,單日+5.89%5-day +4.16%, 1-day +5.89% |
| 布蘭特原油Brent Crude | 93.78 美元USD 93.78 | +2.36%,7 月 24 日以來新高+2.36%, highest since July 24 |
| 美國 30 年期公債殖利率U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield | 5.25%5.25% | 回購擴大後仍回升;10 年期 4.70%Rebounded after expanded buybacks; 10-year at 4.70% |
| 遠東至美東運價Far East to US East Coast Freight Rate | 10,249 美元/40 呎櫃USD 10,249/FEU | 突破 1 萬美元,挑戰疫情高點Topped $10,000, testing pandemic highs |
風險燈號Risk Dashboard
其他日期Other Days
- 2026-09-18國巨訂單出貨比攀至 2.2 伺服器電容規格翻倍推升稼動率Yageo's Book-to-Bill Ratio Climbs to 2.2 as Server Capacitor Specs Double, Driving Utilization
- 2026-09-18CPO降規傳言引發CCL族群重挫 業者駁斥高階用料不減反增CPO Speculation Hits CCL Stocks; Suppliers Counter High-End Demand Keeps Expanding
- 2026-09-173 大雲端巨頭半數資產未上線 基礎建設受制於電網交付延宕Half of Big Cloud Assets Offline as Grid Delays Bottleneck Infrastructure
- 2026-09-17欣興ABF報價跳增 1 成 缺料緊繃直指 2030 年Unimicron Hikes ABF Prices 10% as Supply Bottlenecks Stretch to 2030
- 2026-09-16矽晶圓缺口預估擴至 24% 漢測凍資 8,600 億引爆產能卡位Silicon Wafer Deficit Projected to Widen to 24%; Han-Test IPO Freezes NT$860B as Capacity Race Ignites
- 2026-09-16MOSFET全線缺料壓抑伺服器電源放量 台達電第 3 季獲利遭機構下修Widespread MOSFET Shortages Stifle Server Power Shipments; Brokerages Cut Delta Electronics Q3 Earnings Forecasts
- 2026-09-15探針卡版圖位移與算力治理重估Probe-Card Market Realigns as AI Governance Spurs Valuation Reckoning
- 2026-09-14關鍵對手品質瑕疵退出,旺矽壟斷次世代算力探針卡份額Rival Yield Failure Leaves MPI With Near-Monopoly on Next-Gen Probe Cards
- 2026-09-14布蘭特原油破百美元遭遇外資 8.5 萬口期貨空單,台股失守 46,200 點的流動性估值修正Brent Breaches $100 as Foreign Short Positions Hit 85,000 Contracts; Taiex Breaches 46,200 in Liquidity Repricing
- 2026-09-11村田停產常規料退守AI高地:被動元件掀起 3 年長週期大洗牌Murata Halts Legacy MLCC Lines to Fortify AI Stronghold, Triggering 3-Year Cycle Reshuffle
- 2026-09-11原油破百美元與出口 800 億交火:台股在武裝態中面臨雙向拉扯Crude Breaks $100 as Exports Hit $80 Billion: Taiwan Equities Caught in Crossfire
- 2026-09-10出口破天荒衝破 800 億美元,台股卻因百元油價退守 4 萬七Taiwan Exports Smash $80B Record, but $100 Oil Pushes TAIEX Below 47,000
- 2026-09-09距前高 289 點,成交量卻掉到 0.92 兆Taiwan Shares Sit 289 Points Below Record as Turnover Dries to NT$920 Billion
- 2026-09-08同一波記憶體漲價:大立光降評,華邦電創新高The Same Memory Price Surge: Largan Downgraded, Winbond Hits Record High
- 2026-09-07就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing
- 2026-09-05反彈 693 點站回 5 日線,量能創 8 月底新低Taiex Jumps 693 Points to Reclaim 5-Day Line on Thinnest Volume Since Late August
- 2026-09-0495 美元油價擊落台股 1,091 點$95 Oil Knocks 1,091 Points Off Taiex
- 2026-09-03金融指數漲 2.19% 創高,櫃買跌破季線Financials Surge 2.19% to Record High as OTC Index Slips Below Quarterly Line
- 2026-09-034.8% 殖利率壓過 950 億美元 AI 積壓訂單A 4.8% Yield Outweighs $95 Billion in AI Backlogs
- 2026-08-31「很難把金融狀況說成限制性的」'Hard to Describe Financial Conditions as Restrictive'
- 2026-08-27手握 962 億美元與 2 兆訂單,毛利率仍連跌 3 季Armed With $96.2 Billion and $2 Trillion in Backlog, Gross Margin Still Falls for Three Quarters
- 2026-08-26油價跌 3.1% 的那一天,市場把通膨的問題延後了The Day Oil Fell 3.1%, Markets Postponed the Inflation Question
- 2026-08-251.1 兆美元的租賃承諾,還沒進到資產負債表$1.1 Trillion in Lease Commitments Has Yet to Hit the Balance Sheet
- 2026-08-24當龍頭也要漲價:記憶體的帳單開始往終端移動When the Market Leader Raises Prices: Memory Costs Land on the End Customer
- 2026-08-21外銷訂單 979 億美元創高:88% 增量僅來自 2 類產品Export Orders Hit Record $97.9 Billion: Two Categories Account for 88% of Growth
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