AHI Journal
要聞速覽What’s News
台股 2 日蒸發 1,091 點Taiwan Equities Erase 1,091 Points in Two Days9/2 跌 784 點、9/3 再跌 307.06 點收 45,857.66,櫃買失守季線跌 2.88%。回檔集中在前波漲最兇的族群,指數自 48,218 點高點回撤約 4.9%。Following a 784-point drop on September 2, the index fell another 307.06 points on September 3 to close at 45,857.66, while the OTC index lost its quarterly line, falling 2.88%. Retracements concentrated in the previous leaders, pulling the index down about 4.9% from its peak of 48,218. 讀全文 →Read →
外資 2 日賣超 1,395 億Foreign Investors Sell NT$139.5 Billion in Two Days9/2 賣超 913.55 億元、9/3 再賣 481.46 億元,台指期淨空單自 85,329 口小減至 81,575 口。空單沒撤,反彈就缺主要買方。Foreign institutional investors net sold NT$91.3 billion on September 2 and another NT$48.1 billion on September 3. Net short positions in Taiex futures eased slightly from 85,329 contracts to 81,575 contracts. Without short covering, any rebound lacks a major buyer. 讀全文 →Read →
金融指數創歷史新高Financial Index Hits All-Time High金融類指數 9/3 收 3,481.59 點、漲 2.19%,同日電子類指數跌 0.85%。同一個交易日內完成一次完整的防禦轉向。The financial sub-index closed up 2.19% at 3,481.59 on September 3, while the electronics sub-index fell 0.85%. A complete defensive rotation was executed within a single trading session. 讀全文 →Read →
殖利率觸 4.818% 後回落Yield Retreats After Touching 4.818%10 年期美債殖利率一度攀上 2023 年 11 月來最高水準,收盤前回落至 4.78%。當天決定亞股價格的是折現率,不是需求。The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield touched its highest level since November 2023 before easing to 4.78% ahead of the close. Asian equities were driven by discount rates, not demand. 讀全文 →Read →
散戶多空比由負轉正Retail Long-Short Ratio Turns Positive小台散戶多空比自 −3.5% 翻為 +9.2%、微台自 −17.2% 翻為 +33.0%,選擇權賣買權未平倉比降至 77.16%。散戶偏多、法人偏空。The retail long-short ratio in mini-Taiex futures flipped from -3.5% to +9.2%, and micro-Taiex flipped from -17.2% to +33.0%. The options put-call open interest ratio fell to 77.16%, indicating retail traders are leaning long while institutions remain short. 讀全文 →Read →
戴爾積壓訂單 950 億美元Dell Backlog Reaches $95 BillionAI 伺服器在手訂單季增約 85%,全年營收目標上修至 740 億美元。公司同時說明 15.0% 的伺服器營益率不具延續性,下季指引壓回 13 至 14%。AI server backlogs grew approximately 85% quarter-on-quarter, prompting Dell to raise its full-year revenue target to $74 billion. The company noted its 15.0% server operating margin is unsustainable, guiding next-quarter margins back to 13% to 14%. 讀全文 →Read →
博通 AI 營收年增 221%Broadcom AI Revenue Surges 221% YoY單季 AI 半導體 167 億美元,下季營收指引 348 億美元、略低於共識 350 億美元。2 年翻倍藍圖換來一家券商把調升評等。Quarterly AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.7 billion, while next-quarter revenue guidance of $34.8 billion came in slightly below the consensus of $35 billion. A roadmap to double revenue in two years prompted one brokerage to upgrade the stock to Buy. 讀全文 →Read →
南亞科 8 月營收 446.9 億Nanya Technology August Revenue Hits NT$44.6 Billion年增 561%,資本支出上限自 520 億元上調至 697 億元。9/3 股價跌 7.82%,是利多公告後賣消息的標準形態。Revenue rose 561% year-on-year, and the capital expenditure ceiling was raised from NT$52 billion to NT$69.7 billion. Shares fell 7.82% on September 3, a classic sell-the-news reaction following the positive announcement. 讀全文 →Read →
ABF 交期拉到 14 個月ABF Substrate Lead Times Stretch to 14 Months較 2025 年初的 6 至 8 個月拉長近倍,2026 年 6 大供應商產能全數被預訂。第 4 季報價凍漲傳聞卻讓南電跌停、景碩跌 8.5%。Lead times have nearly doubled from the 6 to 8 months seen in early 2025, with the capacity of the top six suppliers fully booked through 2026. However, rumors of flat pricing in the fourth quarter sent Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board to limit down, while Kinsus fell 8.5%. 讀全文 →Read →
市場快照Market Snapshot
| 加權指數Taiex Index | 45,857.6645,857.66 | −307.06(−0.67%)-307.06 (-0.67%) |
| 櫃買指數OTC Index | 395.25395.25 | −11.71(−2.88%)-11.71 (-2.88%) |
| 上市成交金額TSE Turnover | 9,462.71 億元NT$946.2 billion | −302.29 億元-NT$30.2 billion |
| 外資現貨買賣超Foreign Net Buy/Sell (Spot) | −481.46 億元-NT$48.1 billion | −1,395.01 億元(2 日累計)-NT$139.5 billion (Two-day cumulative) |
| 投信買賣超Investment Trust Net Buy/Sell | +11.42 億元+NT$1.1 billion | +46.70 億元(轉為買超)+NT$4.6 billion (Turned net buyer) |
| 自營商買賣超Dealer Net Buy/Sell | −167.08 億元-NT$16.7 billion | +36.54 億元+NT$3.6 billion |
| 外資台指期淨未平倉Foreign Taiex Futures Net Open Interest | −81,575 口-81,575 contracts | +3,754 口+3,754 contracts |
| 融資餘額(9/2)Margin Debt Balance (9/2) | 5,856.75 億元NT$585.6 billion | +75.60 億元+NT$7.5 billion |
| 選擇權賣買權未平倉比Options Put/Call Open Interest Ratio | 77.16%77.16% | −6.74 個百分點-6.74 percentage points |
| 台指選擇權隱含波動率Taiex Options Implied Volatility | 25.65%25.65% | −0.45 個百分點-0.45 percentage points |
| 金融類指數Financial Sub-Index | 3,481.593,481.59 | +74.66(+2.19%)+74.66 (+2.19%) |
| 電子類指數Electronics Sub-Index | 2,895.812,895.81 | −24.95(−0.85%)-24.95 (-0.85%) |
| 費城半導體指數Philadelphia Semiconductor Index | 11,339.2511,339.25 | +50.64(+0.45%)+50.64 (+0.45%) |
| 美國 10 年期公債殖利率U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.78%(盤中高 4.818%)4.78% (Intraday High 4.818%) | −2.0bp-2.0bp |
| 布蘭特原油Brent Crude | 95.63 美元/桶$95.63/barrel | +1.04%+1.04% |
| 日經 225Nikkei 225 | 64,325.6464,325.64 | −1,889.70(−2.85%)-1,889.70 (-2.85%) |
| 美元兌日圓USD/JPY | 158.70158.70 | −0.93%(日圓升值)-0.93% (Yen appreciated) |
風險燈號Risk Dashboard
其他日期Other Days
- 2026-09-18國巨訂單出貨比攀至 2.2 伺服器電容規格翻倍推升稼動率Yageo's Book-to-Bill Ratio Climbs to 2.2 as Server Capacitor Specs Double, Driving Utilization
- 2026-09-18CPO降規傳言引發CCL族群重挫 業者駁斥高階用料不減反增CPO Speculation Hits CCL Stocks; Suppliers Counter High-End Demand Keeps Expanding
- 2026-09-173 大雲端巨頭半數資產未上線 基礎建設受制於電網交付延宕Half of Big Cloud Assets Offline as Grid Delays Bottleneck Infrastructure
- 2026-09-17欣興ABF報價跳增 1 成 缺料緊繃直指 2030 年Unimicron Hikes ABF Prices 10% as Supply Bottlenecks Stretch to 2030
- 2026-09-16矽晶圓缺口預估擴至 24% 漢測凍資 8,600 億引爆產能卡位Silicon Wafer Deficit Projected to Widen to 24%; Han-Test IPO Freezes NT$860B as Capacity Race Ignites
- 2026-09-16MOSFET全線缺料壓抑伺服器電源放量 台達電第 3 季獲利遭機構下修Widespread MOSFET Shortages Stifle Server Power Shipments; Brokerages Cut Delta Electronics Q3 Earnings Forecasts
- 2026-09-15探針卡版圖位移與算力治理重估Probe-Card Market Realigns as AI Governance Spurs Valuation Reckoning
- 2026-09-14關鍵對手品質瑕疵退出,旺矽壟斷次世代算力探針卡份額Rival Yield Failure Leaves MPI With Near-Monopoly on Next-Gen Probe Cards
- 2026-09-14布蘭特原油破百美元遭遇外資 8.5 萬口期貨空單,台股失守 46,200 點的流動性估值修正Brent Breaches $100 as Foreign Short Positions Hit 85,000 Contracts; Taiex Breaches 46,200 in Liquidity Repricing
- 2026-09-11村田停產常規料退守AI高地:被動元件掀起 3 年長週期大洗牌Murata Halts Legacy MLCC Lines to Fortify AI Stronghold, Triggering 3-Year Cycle Reshuffle
- 2026-09-11原油破百美元與出口 800 億交火:台股在武裝態中面臨雙向拉扯Crude Breaks $100 as Exports Hit $80 Billion: Taiwan Equities Caught in Crossfire
- 2026-09-10出口破天荒衝破 800 億美元,台股卻因百元油價退守 4 萬七Taiwan Exports Smash $80B Record, but $100 Oil Pushes TAIEX Below 47,000
- 2026-09-09距前高 289 點,成交量卻掉到 0.92 兆Taiwan Shares Sit 289 Points Below Record as Turnover Dries to NT$920 Billion
- 2026-09-08同一波記憶體漲價:大立光降評,華邦電創新高The Same Memory Price Surge: Largan Downgraded, Winbond Hits Record High
- 2026-09-07就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing
- 2026-09-05反彈 693 點站回 5 日線,量能創 8 月底新低Taiex Jumps 693 Points to Reclaim 5-Day Line on Thinnest Volume Since Late August
- 2026-09-0495 美元油價擊落台股 1,091 點$95 Oil Knocks 1,091 Points Off Taiex
- 2026-09-03金融指數漲 2.19% 創高,櫃買跌破季線Financials Surge 2.19% to Record High as OTC Index Slips Below Quarterly Line
- 2026-08-31「很難把金融狀況說成限制性的」'Hard to Describe Financial Conditions as Restrictive'
- 2026-08-27手握 962 億美元與 2 兆訂單,毛利率仍連跌 3 季Armed With $96.2 Billion and $2 Trillion in Backlog, Gross Margin Still Falls for Three Quarters
- 2026-08-26油價跌 3.1% 的那一天,市場把通膨的問題延後了The Day Oil Fell 3.1%, Markets Postponed the Inflation Question
- 2026-08-251.1 兆美元的租賃承諾,還沒進到資產負債表$1.1 Trillion in Lease Commitments Has Yet to Hit the Balance Sheet
- 2026-08-24當龍頭也要漲價:記憶體的帳單開始往終端移動When the Market Leader Raises Prices: Memory Costs Land on the End Customer
- 2026-08-23科技公司加入搶長期資金,長債殖利率因此壓不下來Tech Giants Join the Scramble for Long-Term Capital, Keeping Long Bond Yields High
- 2026-08-21外銷訂單 979 億美元創高:88% 增量僅來自 2 類產品Export Orders Hit Record $97.9 Billion: Two Categories Account for 88% of Growth
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