AHI Journal
要聞速覽What’s News
櫃買跌破季線OTC Index Breaks Below Quarterly Line櫃買指數 9 月 3 日跌 2.88% 收 395.25 點,跌幅是加權指數的 4 倍以上。中小型股先於權值股轉弱,籌碼鬆動由下往上蔓延。The GreTai Securities Market index fell 2.88% on September 3 to close at 395.25 points, suffering a decline more than four times that of the weighted index. Small and mid-cap stocks weakened ahead of large-caps as capital unwinding spread upward. 讀全文 →Read →
金融指數改寫新高Financial Index Rewrites Record High金融類指數 9 月 3 日漲 2.19% 收 3,481.59 點,玉山金併入三商美邦人壽躍居第 5 大金控。本土資金把電子的波動換成金融的帳面利益。The financial sector index gained 2.19% on September 3 to close at 3,481.59 points, as E.Sun Financial's absorption of Mercuries Life propelled it to the fifth-largest financial holding company. Domestic funds swapped tech volatility for financial book gains. 讀全文 →Read →
當沖占成交值 38%Day Trading Accounts for 38% of Turnover9 月 2 日當沖買進占成交值 38.07%,其中半導體吃掉當沖金額的 32.96%。近 4 成成交在收盤前結清,盤面深度比報價數字薄。Day-trade buy orders accounted for 38.07% of turnover on September 2, with semiconductors consuming 32.96% of total day-trading value. Nearly 40% of volume is squared off before the close, leaving market depth thinner than headline quotes suggest. 讀全文 →Read →
外資回補 3,754 口空單Foreign Investors Cover 3,754 Short Contracts外資台指期淨空單降至 81,575 口,賣權買權未平倉比由 83.90% 降到 77.16%。期貨避險在拆,現貨卻同日再賣 481.46 億元。Foreign net short TAIEX futures contracts declined to 81,575, while the put-call open interest ratio dropped from 83.90% to 77.16%. Futures hedging is unwinding, even as cash equities saw another NT$48.1 billion in net selling that same day. 讀全文 →Read →
日本 10 年債破 3%Japan 10-Year Yield Breaches 3%日本 10 年期公債殖利率站上 3%,1996 年以來首見;30 年債標售尾差由上月 0.21 擴大到 0.28。買盤要求更高的存續期補償。Japan's 10-year government bond yield topped 3% for the first time since 1996, while the tail spread on 30-year bond auctions widened from last month's 0.21 to 0.28. Buyers demand heavier duration compensation. 讀全文 →Read →
台達電電容換料Delta Electronics Reports Capacitor Swap市場傳新平台 18.3 千瓦電源供應器特定批次電容有漏電流疑慮,源頭在供應商零件、可換料處理。股價 2 個交易日跌逾 1 成。Market reports indicate specific batches of capacitors in new platform 18.3kW power supplies carry leakage current risks originating from supplier components, though resolvable via replacement. The stock dropped over 10% across two sessions.
BT 載板傳第 4 季凍漲BT Substrate Rumors Point to Q4 Price Freeze載板族群 9 月 3 日重挫,南電跌停、景碩跌 8.5%,市場傳 BT 載板第 4 季報價凍結。漲價敘事第一次被自家報價打斷。Substrate stocks plunged on September 3, with Nanya PCB hitting limit-down and Kinsus falling 8.5% amid market chatter that BT substrate pricing will freeze in the fourth quarter. The price-hike narrative was interrupted by its own quotes for the first time.
藥華藥新增適應症PharmaEssentia Expands Indications美國 FDA 於 8 月 28 日核准其長效干擾素用於原發性血小板增多症並推出新劑型。病患族群大於原適應症,貢獻落在 2027 年之後。The US FDA approved its long-acting interferon for polycythemia vera alongside a new dosage form on August 28. The patient demographic exceeds prior indications, with revenue contributions arriving post-2027.
無人機專法 6 年 2,400 億NT$240B Drone Special Act Over Six Years無人載具專法 8 月 27 日三讀,6 年編列 2,400 億元,國防部規劃採購近 5 萬架商規機。供應鏈由題材進入實際履約階段。The uncrewed vehicle special legislation passed its third reading on August 27, budgeting NT$240 billion over six years with the Ministry of Defense planning purchases of nearly 50,000 commercial-spec drones. The supply chain shifts from theme play to active execution.
市場快照Market Snapshot
| 加權指數TAIEX | 45,857.6645,857.66 | −307.06(−0.67%)−307.06 (−0.67%) |
| 上市成交金額Main Board Turnover | 9,462.71 億元NT$94.6 billion | −302.29 億元−NT$30.2 billion |
| 櫃買指數OTC Index | 395.25395.25 | −11.71(−2.88%)−11.71 (−2.88%) |
| 電子類指數Electronics Index | 2,895.812,895.81 | −24.95(−0.85%)−24.95 (−0.85%) |
| 金融保險類指數Financials & Insurance Index | 3,481.593,481.59 | +74.66(+2.19%)+74.66 (+2.19%) |
| 台指期近月TAIEX Front-Month Futures | 45,83745,837 | −328−328 |
| 外資現貨買賣超Foreign Net Cash Equities | −481.46 億元−NT$481.5 billion | −481.46 億元−NT$481.5 billion |
| 投信買賣超Domestic Mutual Funds Net | +11.42 億元+NT$1.1 billion | +11.42 億元+NT$1.1 billion |
| 自營商買賣超Proprietary Traders Net | −167.08 億元−NT$16.7 billion | −167.08 億元−NT$16.7 billion |
| 外資台指期淨未平倉Foreign TAIEX Net Open Interest | −81,575 口−81,575 contracts | +3,754 口(空單減少)+3,754 contracts (short positions reduced) |
| 賣權買權未平倉比Put-Call Open Interest Ratio | 77.16%77.16% | −6.74 個百分點−6.74 percentage points |
| 台指選擇權隱含波動率TAIEX Options Implied Volatility | 25.65%25.65% | −0.45 個百分點−0.45 percentage points |
| 融資餘額(9/2)Margin Balance (9/2) | 5,856.75 億元NT$585.7 billion | +75.60 億元+NT$7.6 billion |
| 小台散戶多空比Small Retail Long-Short Ratio | 0.99%0.99% | −8.53 個百分點−8.53 percentage points |
| 美國 10 年期公債殖利率US 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.78%4.78% | −2.0 個基點−2.0 bps |
| 布蘭特原油Brent Crude | 95.63 美元/桶$95.63/bbl | +1.0%+1.0% |
| 新台幣兌美元USD/NTD | 31.7531.75 | −0.10(貶值)−0.10 (depreciated) |
風險燈號Risk Dashboard
其他日期Other Days
- 2026-09-18國巨訂單出貨比攀至 2.2 伺服器電容規格翻倍推升稼動率Yageo's Book-to-Bill Ratio Climbs to 2.2 as Server Capacitor Specs Double, Driving Utilization
- 2026-09-18CPO降規傳言引發CCL族群重挫 業者駁斥高階用料不減反增CPO Speculation Hits CCL Stocks; Suppliers Counter High-End Demand Keeps Expanding
- 2026-09-173 大雲端巨頭半數資產未上線 基礎建設受制於電網交付延宕Half of Big Cloud Assets Offline as Grid Delays Bottleneck Infrastructure
- 2026-09-17欣興ABF報價跳增 1 成 缺料緊繃直指 2030 年Unimicron Hikes ABF Prices 10% as Supply Bottlenecks Stretch to 2030
- 2026-09-16矽晶圓缺口預估擴至 24% 漢測凍資 8,600 億引爆產能卡位Silicon Wafer Deficit Projected to Widen to 24%; Han-Test IPO Freezes NT$860B as Capacity Race Ignites
- 2026-09-16MOSFET全線缺料壓抑伺服器電源放量 台達電第 3 季獲利遭機構下修Widespread MOSFET Shortages Stifle Server Power Shipments; Brokerages Cut Delta Electronics Q3 Earnings Forecasts
- 2026-09-15探針卡版圖位移與算力治理重估Probe-Card Market Realigns as AI Governance Spurs Valuation Reckoning
- 2026-09-14關鍵對手品質瑕疵退出,旺矽壟斷次世代算力探針卡份額Rival Yield Failure Leaves MPI With Near-Monopoly on Next-Gen Probe Cards
- 2026-09-14布蘭特原油破百美元遭遇外資 8.5 萬口期貨空單,台股失守 46,200 點的流動性估值修正Brent Breaches $100 as Foreign Short Positions Hit 85,000 Contracts; Taiex Breaches 46,200 in Liquidity Repricing
- 2026-09-11村田停產常規料退守AI高地:被動元件掀起 3 年長週期大洗牌Murata Halts Legacy MLCC Lines to Fortify AI Stronghold, Triggering 3-Year Cycle Reshuffle
- 2026-09-11原油破百美元與出口 800 億交火:台股在武裝態中面臨雙向拉扯Crude Breaks $100 as Exports Hit $80 Billion: Taiwan Equities Caught in Crossfire
- 2026-09-10出口破天荒衝破 800 億美元,台股卻因百元油價退守 4 萬七Taiwan Exports Smash $80B Record, but $100 Oil Pushes TAIEX Below 47,000
- 2026-09-09距前高 289 點,成交量卻掉到 0.92 兆Taiwan Shares Sit 289 Points Below Record as Turnover Dries to NT$920 Billion
- 2026-09-08同一波記憶體漲價:大立光降評,華邦電創新高The Same Memory Price Surge: Largan Downgraded, Winbond Hits Record High
- 2026-09-07就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing
- 2026-09-05反彈 693 點站回 5 日線,量能創 8 月底新低Taiex Jumps 693 Points to Reclaim 5-Day Line on Thinnest Volume Since Late August
- 2026-09-0495 美元油價擊落台股 1,091 點$95 Oil Knocks 1,091 Points Off Taiex
- 2026-09-034.8% 殖利率壓過 950 億美元 AI 積壓訂單A 4.8% Yield Outweighs $95 Billion in AI Backlogs
- 2026-08-31「很難把金融狀況說成限制性的」'Hard to Describe Financial Conditions as Restrictive'
- 2026-08-27手握 962 億美元與 2 兆訂單,毛利率仍連跌 3 季Armed With $96.2 Billion and $2 Trillion in Backlog, Gross Margin Still Falls for Three Quarters
- 2026-08-26油價跌 3.1% 的那一天,市場把通膨的問題延後了The Day Oil Fell 3.1%, Markets Postponed the Inflation Question
- 2026-08-251.1 兆美元的租賃承諾,還沒進到資產負債表$1.1 Trillion in Lease Commitments Has Yet to Hit the Balance Sheet
- 2026-08-24當龍頭也要漲價:記憶體的帳單開始往終端移動When the Market Leader Raises Prices: Memory Costs Land on the End Customer
- 2026-08-23科技公司加入搶長期資金,長債殖利率因此壓不下來Tech Giants Join the Scramble for Long-Term Capital, Keeping Long Bond Yields High
- 2026-08-21外銷訂單 979 億美元創高:88% 增量僅來自 2 類產品Export Orders Hit Record $97.9 Billion: Two Categories Account for 88% of Growth
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