AHI Journal

2026 年 9 月 3 日 星期四Thursday, September 03, 2026登入Log In訂閱Subscribe
市場快訊Market Brief

金融指數漲 2.19% 創高,櫃買跌破季線Financials Surge 2.19% to Record High as OTC Index Slips Below Quarterly Line

2026 年 9 月 3 日 星期四Thursday, September 03, 2026免費閱讀Free to read

要聞速覽What’s News

市場Markets

櫃買跌破季線OTC Index Breaks Below Quarterly Line櫃買指數 9 月 3 日跌 2.88% 收 395.25 點,跌幅是加權指數的 4 倍以上。中小型股先於權值股轉弱,籌碼鬆動由下往上蔓延。The GreTai Securities Market index fell 2.88% on September 3 to close at 395.25 points, suffering a decline more than four times that of the weighted index. Small and mid-cap stocks weakened ahead of large-caps as capital unwinding spread upward. 讀全文 →Read →

金融指數改寫新高Financial Index Rewrites Record High金融類指數 9 月 3 日漲 2.19% 收 3,481.59 點,玉山金併入三商美邦人壽躍居第 5 大金控。本土資金把電子的波動換成金融的帳面利益。The financial sector index gained 2.19% on September 3 to close at 3,481.59 points, as E.Sun Financial's absorption of Mercuries Life propelled it to the fifth-largest financial holding company. Domestic funds swapped tech volatility for financial book gains. 讀全文 →Read →

當沖占成交值 38%Day Trading Accounts for 38% of Turnover9 月 2 日當沖買進占成交值 38.07%,其中半導體吃掉當沖金額的 32.96%。近 4 成成交在收盤前結清,盤面深度比報價數字薄。Day-trade buy orders accounted for 38.07% of turnover on September 2, with semiconductors consuming 32.96% of total day-trading value. Nearly 40% of volume is squared off before the close, leaving market depth thinner than headline quotes suggest. 讀全文 →Read →

外資回補 3,754 口空單Foreign Investors Cover 3,754 Short Contracts外資台指期淨空單降至 81,575 口,賣權買權未平倉比由 83.90% 降到 77.16%。期貨避險在拆,現貨卻同日再賣 481.46 億元。Foreign net short TAIEX futures contracts declined to 81,575, while the put-call open interest ratio dropped from 83.90% to 77.16%. Futures hedging is unwinding, even as cash equities saw another NT$48.1 billion in net selling that same day. 讀全文 →Read →

日本 10 年債破 3%Japan 10-Year Yield Breaches 3%日本 10 年期公債殖利率站上 3%,1996 年以來首見;30 年債標售尾差由上月 0.21 擴大到 0.28。買盤要求更高的存續期補償。Japan's 10-year government bond yield topped 3% for the first time since 1996, while the tail spread on 30-year bond auctions widened from last month's 0.21 to 0.28. Buyers demand heavier duration compensation. 讀全文 →Read →

產業與企業Industry & Companies

台達電電容換料Delta Electronics Reports Capacitor Swap市場傳新平台 18.3 千瓦電源供應器特定批次電容有漏電流疑慮,源頭在供應商零件、可換料處理。股價 2 個交易日跌逾 1 成。Market reports indicate specific batches of capacitors in new platform 18.3kW power supplies carry leakage current risks originating from supplier components, though resolvable via replacement. The stock dropped over 10% across two sessions.

BT 載板傳第 4 季凍漲BT Substrate Rumors Point to Q4 Price Freeze載板族群 9 月 3 日重挫,南電跌停、景碩跌 8.5%,市場傳 BT 載板第 4 季報價凍結。漲價敘事第一次被自家報價打斷。Substrate stocks plunged on September 3, with Nanya PCB hitting limit-down and Kinsus falling 8.5% amid market chatter that BT substrate pricing will freeze in the fourth quarter. The price-hike narrative was interrupted by its own quotes for the first time.

藥華藥新增適應症PharmaEssentia Expands Indications美國 FDA 於 8 月 28 日核准其長效干擾素用於原發性血小板增多症並推出新劑型。病患族群大於原適應症,貢獻落在 2027 年之後。The US FDA approved its long-acting interferon for polycythemia vera alongside a new dosage form on August 28. The patient demographic exceeds prior indications, with revenue contributions arriving post-2027.

無人機專法 6 年 2,400 億NT$240B Drone Special Act Over Six Years無人載具專法 8 月 27 日三讀,6 年編列 2,400 億元,國防部規劃採購近 5 萬架商規機。供應鏈由題材進入實際履約階段。The uncrewed vehicle special legislation passed its third reading on August 27, budgeting NT$240 billion over six years with the Ministry of Defense planning purchases of nearly 50,000 commercial-spec drones. The supply chain shifts from theme play to active execution.

市場快照Market Snapshot

市場快照:當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)Change for the session (comparable rows only)−4%+4%0加權指數TAIEX−0.67%45,857.6645,857.66櫃買指數OTC Index−2.88%395.25395.25電子類指數Electronics Index−0.85%2,895.812,895.81金融保險類指數金融保險類指數Financials & Insuran…+2.19%3,481.593,481.59布蘭特原油Brent Crude+1.00%95.63 美元/桶$95.63/bbl市場快照:當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)當期漲跌幅(僅列同口徑可比較者)Change for the session (comparable rows only)−4%+4%0加權指數TAIEX−0.67%45,857.6645,857.66櫃買指數OTC Index−2.88%395.25395.25電子類指數電子類指數Electronics…−0.85%2,895.812,895.81金融保險類…金融保險類指數Financials…+2.19%3,481.593,481.59布蘭特原油Brent Crude+1.00%95.63 美元/桶$95.63/bbl
加權指數TAIEX45,857.6645,857.66−307.06(−0.67%)−307.06 (−0.67%)
上市成交金額Main Board Turnover9,462.71 億元NT$94.6 billion−302.29 億元−NT$30.2 billion
櫃買指數OTC Index395.25395.25−11.71(−2.88%)−11.71 (−2.88%)
電子類指數Electronics Index2,895.812,895.81−24.95(−0.85%)−24.95 (−0.85%)
金融保險類指數Financials & Insurance Index3,481.593,481.59+74.66(+2.19%)+74.66 (+2.19%)
台指期近月TAIEX Front-Month Futures45,83745,837−328−328
外資現貨買賣超Foreign Net Cash Equities−481.46 億元−NT$481.5 billion−481.46 億元−NT$481.5 billion
投信買賣超Domestic Mutual Funds Net+11.42 億元+NT$1.1 billion+11.42 億元+NT$1.1 billion
自營商買賣超Proprietary Traders Net−167.08 億元−NT$16.7 billion−167.08 億元−NT$16.7 billion
外資台指期淨未平倉Foreign TAIEX Net Open Interest−81,575 口−81,575 contracts+3,754 口(空單減少)+3,754 contracts (short positions reduced)
賣權買權未平倉比Put-Call Open Interest Ratio77.16%77.16%−6.74 個百分點−6.74 percentage points
台指選擇權隱含波動率TAIEX Options Implied Volatility25.65%25.65%−0.45 個百分點−0.45 percentage points
融資餘額(9/2)Margin Balance (9/2)5,856.75 億元NT$585.7 billion+75.60 億元+NT$7.6 billion
小台散戶多空比Small Retail Long-Short Ratio0.99%0.99%−8.53 個百分點−8.53 percentage points
美國 10 年期公債殖利率US 10-Year Treasury Yield4.78%4.78%−2.0 個基點−2.0 bps
布蘭特原油Brent Crude95.63 美元/桶$95.63/bbl+1.0%+1.0%
新台幣兌美元USD/NTD31.7531.75−0.10(貶值)−0.10 (depreciated)

風險燈號Risk Dashboard

總經Macro
布蘭特 95.63 美元、核心 PCE 年增 3.3%、9 月升息機率升到近 7 成,台灣核心物價連 3 月高於 2%。Brent crude at $95.63, core PCE up 3.3% year-on-year, September rate-hike odds climb near 70%, and Taiwan's core inflation exceeds 2% for the third straight month.
流動性Liquidity
融資 5,856.75 億元連七增,距 6,500 億元警戒線約 640 億元;外資期貨淨空 81,575 口但已回補,隱含波動率降到 25.65%。Margin balances at NT$585.7 billion rise for seven straight weeks, sitting roughly NT$64.0 billion below the NT$650.0 billion caution threshold; foreign net short futures at 81,575 contracts are partially covered, with implied volatility easing to 25.65%.
產業敘事Sector Narrative
ABF 交期 12 至 14 個月、缺口推估延伸到 2028,但面板級封裝量產要等 2028 下半,BT 載板第 4 季傳凍漲。ABF lead times span 12 to 14 months with deficits projected through 2028, though panel-level packaging mass production awaits the second half of 2028, and BT substrates face fourth-quarter pricing freeze rumors.
時間性Seasonality
9 月是台股歷史上唯一系統性負報酬月份,期中選舉年 8 月中至 10 月中為結構弱勢期,9/16 至 9/18 三場利率決議連發。September is historically Taiwan's sole systematically negative return month, mid-term election years show structural weakness from mid-August to mid-October, and three rate decisions hit concurrently from September 16 to 18.

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