AHI Journal
要聞速覽What’s News
台股收復波段高點Taiwan Equities Reclaim Swing Highs加權指數 9 月 7 日收 47,326.27 點,上漲 775.14 點、漲幅 1.67%,距 7 月 6 日高點 47,395 點僅一步之遙。The Taiex rose 775.14 points, or 1.67%, to close at 47,326.27 on September 7, just shy of the July 6 high of 47,395. 讀全文 →Read →
三大法人買超逾 1,000 億,期貨空單卻沒動Institutional Buying Exceeds NT$100 Billion, Yet Futures Shorts Hold Firm三大法人單日合計買超 1,127.19 億元,外資現貨買超 883.08 億元;外資期貨未平倉空單仍有 79,399 口,1 週前是 82,389 口。The three major institutional categories bought a combined net NT$112.7 billion in a single day, with foreign institutions buying a net NT$88.3 billion in the spot market. However, foreign institutional open short positions in futures remained at 79,399 contracts, compared with 82,389 contracts a week ago. 讀全文 →Read →
3 大央行本週接力表態Three Major Central Banks to Deliver Decisions This Week歐洲央行 9 月 10 日、聯準會 9 月 17 日、日本央行 9 月 18 日將陸續公布利率決策,市場緊盯 9 月 11 日美國 8 月CPI。The European Central Bank on September 10, the Federal Reserve on September 17, and the Bank of Japan on September 18 will announce interest rate decisions, as markets closely watch U.S. August CPI on September 11. 讀全文 →Read →
官股單日賣超逾 200 億元State-Owned Banks Sell Over NT$20 Billion in a Single Day八大公股銀行單日賣超 212.63 億元,近 20 個交易日累計賣超 553 億元,這波反彈沒有看到官股資金進場的痕跡。The eight major state-owned banks sold a net NT$21.2 billion in a single day, bringing cumulative net selling over the past 20 trading days to NT$55.3 billion, showing no signs of state-backed capital entering during this rebound. 讀全文 →Read →
大立光遭外資調降評等Largan Downgraded to Sell by Foreign Brokerage理由分兩層:CPO題材認證仍早、評價已跑得太前面;智慧型手機鏡頭業務同時受記憶體成本上升壓抑,是近年對這檔股王最直白的一次看空。The downgrade rests on two factors: it is too early to validate CPO themes, and valuations have run too far ahead. Meanwhile, the smartphone lens business is squeezed by rising memory costs, marking the most direct bearish call on the former stock king in recent years. 讀全文 →Read →
友達、群創同遭維持評等AUO and Innolux Maintained at Neutral法人示警記憶體與零組件成本轉嫁,恐讓下半年IT面板市場「旺季不旺」,2 檔面板廠評等原地不動。Institutional analysts warn that the pass-through of memory and component costs could lead to a disappointing peak season for the IT panel market in the second half of the year, leaving ratings for both panel makers unchanged.
華邦電第 2 季每股盈餘創單季新高Winbond Q2 EPS Hits Single-Quarter Record High實際每股盈餘 5.40 元、毛利率 66.25%,法人圈同步看好南亞科、旺宏與群聯,記憶體缺口延續是共同理由。Winbond reported EPS of NT$5.40 and a gross margin of 66.25%. Institutional analysts are simultaneously bullish on Nanya Technology, Macronix, and Phison, citing the prolonged memory supply deficit as a shared catalyst. 讀全文 →Read →
群光 8 月營收年減逾 2 成Chicony August Revenue Falls Over 20% Year-on-Year公司給出的理由是原料價格走高、關鍵半導體零件缺貨,客戶端採購普遍放緩,是記憶體漲價鏈上少數自認受害的公司之一。The company cited rising raw material prices and shortages of key semiconductor components, which slowed customer procurement, making it one of the few firms in the memory supply chain to acknowledge being negatively impacted. 讀全文 →Read →
蘋果 9 月 9 日發表首款摺疊iPhoneApple to Unveil First Foldable iPhone on September 9市場預估頂規機種零售價上看 2,399 美元,較現有Pro Max機種貴出 600 美元,2 奈米晶圓與記憶體成本是主要推手。Market estimates put the retail price of the top-tier model at up to USD 2,399, which is USD 600 more expensive than the current Pro Max model, driven primarily by 2nm wafer and memory costs. 讀全文 →Read →
市場快照Market Snapshot
| 加權指數Taiex | 47,326.2747,326.27 | +775.14(+1.67%)+775.14 (+1.67%) |
| 電子類指數Electronics Index | 3,003.823,003.82 | +2.06%+2.06% |
| 櫃買指數OTC Index | 409.33409.33 | +1.70%+1.70% |
| 成交金額(上市)Turnover (TSE) | 9,979.45 億元NT$997.9 billion | 當沖成交值占比 35.9%Day trading accounted for 35.9% of turnover |
| 外資期貨未平倉淨空單Foreign Institutional Net Open Short Positions in Futures | 79,399 口79,399 contracts | 較 1 週前 82,389 口略減Slightly down from 82,389 contracts a week ago |
| 三大法人合計買賣超Combined Institutional Net Buying/Selling | +1,127.19 億元+NT$112.7 billion | 外資現貨買超 883.08 億元Foreign institutional spot net buying of NT$88.3 billion |
| 上市融資餘額TSE Margin Debt Balance | 5,882.7 億元NT$588.3 billion | 距 6,500 億元警戒尚有距離Remains below the NT$650 billion warning level |
| 布蘭特原油Brent Crude | 92.68 美元USD 92.68 | 單週+8.8%+8.8% for the week |
風險燈號Risk Dashboard
其他日期Other Days
- 2026-09-18國巨訂單出貨比攀至 2.2 伺服器電容規格翻倍推升稼動率Yageo's Book-to-Bill Ratio Climbs to 2.2 as Server Capacitor Specs Double, Driving Utilization
- 2026-09-18CPO降規傳言引發CCL族群重挫 業者駁斥高階用料不減反增CPO Speculation Hits CCL Stocks; Suppliers Counter High-End Demand Keeps Expanding
- 2026-09-173 大雲端巨頭半數資產未上線 基礎建設受制於電網交付延宕Half of Big Cloud Assets Offline as Grid Delays Bottleneck Infrastructure
- 2026-09-17欣興ABF報價跳增 1 成 缺料緊繃直指 2030 年Unimicron Hikes ABF Prices 10% as Supply Bottlenecks Stretch to 2030
- 2026-09-16矽晶圓缺口預估擴至 24% 漢測凍資 8,600 億引爆產能卡位Silicon Wafer Deficit Projected to Widen to 24%; Han-Test IPO Freezes NT$860B as Capacity Race Ignites
- 2026-09-16MOSFET全線缺料壓抑伺服器電源放量 台達電第 3 季獲利遭機構下修Widespread MOSFET Shortages Stifle Server Power Shipments; Brokerages Cut Delta Electronics Q3 Earnings Forecasts
- 2026-09-15探針卡版圖位移與算力治理重估Probe-Card Market Realigns as AI Governance Spurs Valuation Reckoning
- 2026-09-14關鍵對手品質瑕疵退出,旺矽壟斷次世代算力探針卡份額Rival Yield Failure Leaves MPI With Near-Monopoly on Next-Gen Probe Cards
- 2026-09-14布蘭特原油破百美元遭遇外資 8.5 萬口期貨空單,台股失守 46,200 點的流動性估值修正Brent Breaches $100 as Foreign Short Positions Hit 85,000 Contracts; Taiex Breaches 46,200 in Liquidity Repricing
- 2026-09-11村田停產常規料退守AI高地:被動元件掀起 3 年長週期大洗牌Murata Halts Legacy MLCC Lines to Fortify AI Stronghold, Triggering 3-Year Cycle Reshuffle
- 2026-09-11原油破百美元與出口 800 億交火:台股在武裝態中面臨雙向拉扯Crude Breaks $100 as Exports Hit $80 Billion: Taiwan Equities Caught in Crossfire
- 2026-09-10出口破天荒衝破 800 億美元,台股卻因百元油價退守 4 萬七Taiwan Exports Smash $80B Record, but $100 Oil Pushes TAIEX Below 47,000
- 2026-09-09距前高 289 點,成交量卻掉到 0.92 兆Taiwan Shares Sit 289 Points Below Record as Turnover Dries to NT$920 Billion
- 2026-09-07就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing
- 2026-09-05反彈 693 點站回 5 日線,量能創 8 月底新低Taiex Jumps 693 Points to Reclaim 5-Day Line on Thinnest Volume Since Late August
- 2026-09-0495 美元油價擊落台股 1,091 點$95 Oil Knocks 1,091 Points Off Taiex
- 2026-09-03金融指數漲 2.19% 創高,櫃買跌破季線Financials Surge 2.19% to Record High as OTC Index Slips Below Quarterly Line
- 2026-09-034.8% 殖利率壓過 950 億美元 AI 積壓訂單A 4.8% Yield Outweighs $95 Billion in AI Backlogs
- 2026-08-31「很難把金融狀況說成限制性的」'Hard to Describe Financial Conditions as Restrictive'
- 2026-08-27手握 962 億美元與 2 兆訂單,毛利率仍連跌 3 季Armed With $96.2 Billion and $2 Trillion in Backlog, Gross Margin Still Falls for Three Quarters
- 2026-08-26油價跌 3.1% 的那一天,市場把通膨的問題延後了The Day Oil Fell 3.1%, Markets Postponed the Inflation Question
- 2026-08-251.1 兆美元的租賃承諾,還沒進到資產負債表$1.1 Trillion in Lease Commitments Has Yet to Hit the Balance Sheet
- 2026-08-24當龍頭也要漲價:記憶體的帳單開始往終端移動When the Market Leader Raises Prices: Memory Costs Land on the End Customer
- 2026-08-23科技公司加入搶長期資金,長債殖利率因此壓不下來Tech Giants Join the Scramble for Long-Term Capital, Keeping Long Bond Yields High
- 2026-08-21外銷訂單 979 億美元創高:88% 增量僅來自 2 類產品Export Orders Hit Record $97.9 Billion: Two Categories Account for 88% of Growth
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