AHI Journal
要聞速覽What’s News
7 月外銷訂單創單月新高July Export Orders Set Single-Month Record外銷訂單 7 月達 979.4 億美元,年增 61.9%、月增 2.8%;這是連 18 個月維持正成長,數字也高於官方原先給出的 935 億到 955 億美元區間。Taiwan's export orders reached $97.94 billion in July, up 61.9% year-on-year and 2.8% month-on-month, extending their growth streak to 18 months and topping official projections of $93.5 billion to $95.5 billion. 讀全文 →Read →
年增金額有 88%來自 2 類產品Two Categories Drive 88% of Year-on-Year Growth電子產品與資訊通信 2 類接單合計 745.9 億美元,相當於整體的 76.2%;與 1 年前相比,這 2 類共增加 329.8 億美元,約當 7 月整體年增金額的 88%。Electronic products and ICT orders totaled $74.59 billion, representing 76.2% of the total. Compared with a year earlier, the two categories climbed by $32.98 billion, accounting for roughly 88% of July's total dollar expansion. 讀全文 →Read →
布蘭特原油一度逼近 95 美元Brent Crude Approaches $95美國揚言對伊朗施加更嚴厲制裁,油價走高使通膨隱憂再起;標普 500 指數下跌 0.87%,道瓊下跌 1.32%。U.S. threats of tighter sanctions on Iran pushed oil higher, reviving inflation concerns; the S&P 500 fell 0.87% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.32%. 讀全文 →Read →
韓股單日大漲 5.89%Korean Stocks Surge 5.89% in Single Day韓國KOSPI收 6,853 點、上漲 5.89%,日經上漲 1.36%;台股同日僅上漲 0.48%,收 44,934 點。South Korea's Kospi closed at 6,853, up 5.89%, while the Nikkei gained 1.36%; Taiwan's TAIEX lagged on the same day, rising just 0.48% to 44,934. 讀全文 →Read →
公債回購未能壓下長天期殖利率Treasury Buybacks Fail to Cool Long Yields美國財政部宣布擴大公債回購,但長天期公債殖利率仍未有效回落,債市壓力持續存在。The U.S. Treasury announced expanded debt buybacks, but long-duration Treasury yields failed to pull back meaningfully, leaving bond-market pressures intact. 讀全文 →Read →
算力開始被證券化Compute Moves Toward Securitization人工智慧龍頭偕華爾街啟動 5,000 億美元規模融資計畫,芝加哥商品交易所推出首批算力期貨,算力自實體基礎建設走向金融商品。An AI market leader partnered with Wall Street to launch a $500 billion financing program as CME Group rolled out inaugural compute futures, transitioning compute from physical infrastructure into a financial asset.
5 年要投 3 兆美元AI CapEx Projected at $3 Trillion Over Five Years研究指出,人工智慧基礎建設要在 5 年間投入將近 3 兆美元;作為對照,鐵路網用了約 80 年、電氣化約 30 年、光纖網路約 10 年。A research report projects nearly $3 trillion in AI infrastructure investment over the next five years; by comparison, the rail network required roughly 80 years, electrification about 30, and fiber-optic rollouts roughly a decade.
PCB上游材料規格再升級Upstream PCB Materials Upgrade Again資料傳輸朝 800G與 1.6T演進,銅箔基板由M7、M8 進一步往M9 升級,高階材料需求隨AI伺服器、高速交換器與特殊應用晶片同步上行。As data transmission transitions toward 800G and 1.6T, copper-clad laminates are advancing from M7 and M8 to M9, lifting premium material demand across AI servers, high-speed switches, and custom ASICs.
價值型基金加碼雲端龍頭Value Fund Adds to Cloud Leader某知名控股公司第 2 季對一家雲端與搜尋龍頭加碼約 4,810 萬股,季增幅度約 83%,該股因此成為其第 3 大持股。A prominent holding company added roughly 48.1 million shares of a cloud and search leader in the second quarter, up about 83% quarter-on-quarter, making it its third-largest holding. 讀全文 →Read →
市場快照Market Snapshot
| 加權指數TAIEX | 44,93444,934 | +214.4(+0.48%)+214.4 (+0.48%) |
| 韓國KOSPIKospi | 6,8536,853 | +5.89%(日經+1.36%)+5.89% (Nikkei +1.36%) |
| 標普 500 指數S&P 500 | 7,6417,641 | −0.87%(道瓊−1.32%)-0.87% (Dow -1.32%) |
| 費城半導體指數Philadelphia Semiconductor Index | 11,80011,800 | +0.53%,記憶體類股支撐+0.53%, supported by memory shares |
| 台灣 7 月外銷訂單Taiwan July Export Orders | 979.4 億美元$97.94B | 月增 2.8%、年增 61.9%,創單月新高+2.8% MoM, +61.9% YoY, single-month record |
| 資通信與電子接單ICT & Electronics Orders | 745.9 億美元$74.59B | 占整體 76.2%,貢獻年增金額約 88%76.2% of total, ~88% of YoY dollar growth |
| 8 月外銷訂單官方預估Official Aug. Export Order Forecast | 970 至 990 億美元$97.0B to $99.0B | 年增 61.4%至 64.8%;動向指數 51.3+61.4% to +64.8% YoY; diffusion index 51.3 |
| 布蘭特原油Brent Crude | 一度逼近 95 美元Briefly tested $95 | 制裁升溫推升通膨隱憂Escalating sanctions stoke inflation fears |
風險燈號Risk Dashboard
其他日期Other Days
- 2026-09-18國巨訂單出貨比攀至 2.2 伺服器電容規格翻倍推升稼動率Yageo's Book-to-Bill Ratio Climbs to 2.2 as Server Capacitor Specs Double, Driving Utilization
- 2026-09-18CPO降規傳言引發CCL族群重挫 業者駁斥高階用料不減反增CPO Speculation Hits CCL Stocks; Suppliers Counter High-End Demand Keeps Expanding
- 2026-09-173 大雲端巨頭半數資產未上線 基礎建設受制於電網交付延宕Half of Big Cloud Assets Offline as Grid Delays Bottleneck Infrastructure
- 2026-09-17欣興ABF報價跳增 1 成 缺料緊繃直指 2030 年Unimicron Hikes ABF Prices 10% as Supply Bottlenecks Stretch to 2030
- 2026-09-16矽晶圓缺口預估擴至 24% 漢測凍資 8,600 億引爆產能卡位Silicon Wafer Deficit Projected to Widen to 24%; Han-Test IPO Freezes NT$860B as Capacity Race Ignites
- 2026-09-16MOSFET全線缺料壓抑伺服器電源放量 台達電第 3 季獲利遭機構下修Widespread MOSFET Shortages Stifle Server Power Shipments; Brokerages Cut Delta Electronics Q3 Earnings Forecasts
- 2026-09-15探針卡版圖位移與算力治理重估Probe-Card Market Realigns as AI Governance Spurs Valuation Reckoning
- 2026-09-14關鍵對手品質瑕疵退出,旺矽壟斷次世代算力探針卡份額Rival Yield Failure Leaves MPI With Near-Monopoly on Next-Gen Probe Cards
- 2026-09-14布蘭特原油破百美元遭遇外資 8.5 萬口期貨空單,台股失守 46,200 點的流動性估值修正Brent Breaches $100 as Foreign Short Positions Hit 85,000 Contracts; Taiex Breaches 46,200 in Liquidity Repricing
- 2026-09-11村田停產常規料退守AI高地:被動元件掀起 3 年長週期大洗牌Murata Halts Legacy MLCC Lines to Fortify AI Stronghold, Triggering 3-Year Cycle Reshuffle
- 2026-09-11原油破百美元與出口 800 億交火:台股在武裝態中面臨雙向拉扯Crude Breaks $100 as Exports Hit $80 Billion: Taiwan Equities Caught in Crossfire
- 2026-09-10出口破天荒衝破 800 億美元,台股卻因百元油價退守 4 萬七Taiwan Exports Smash $80B Record, but $100 Oil Pushes TAIEX Below 47,000
- 2026-09-09距前高 289 點,成交量卻掉到 0.92 兆Taiwan Shares Sit 289 Points Below Record as Turnover Dries to NT$920 Billion
- 2026-09-08同一波記憶體漲價:大立光降評,華邦電創新高The Same Memory Price Surge: Largan Downgraded, Winbond Hits Record High
- 2026-09-07就業 16.2 萬、薪資 3.1%、油價還在漲162K Jobs, 3.1% Wages, Oil Still Climbing
- 2026-09-05反彈 693 點站回 5 日線,量能創 8 月底新低Taiex Jumps 693 Points to Reclaim 5-Day Line on Thinnest Volume Since Late August
- 2026-09-0495 美元油價擊落台股 1,091 點$95 Oil Knocks 1,091 Points Off Taiex
- 2026-09-03金融指數漲 2.19% 創高,櫃買跌破季線Financials Surge 2.19% to Record High as OTC Index Slips Below Quarterly Line
- 2026-09-034.8% 殖利率壓過 950 億美元 AI 積壓訂單A 4.8% Yield Outweighs $95 Billion in AI Backlogs
- 2026-08-31「很難把金融狀況說成限制性的」'Hard to Describe Financial Conditions as Restrictive'
- 2026-08-27手握 962 億美元與 2 兆訂單,毛利率仍連跌 3 季Armed With $96.2 Billion and $2 Trillion in Backlog, Gross Margin Still Falls for Three Quarters
- 2026-08-26油價跌 3.1% 的那一天,市場把通膨的問題延後了The Day Oil Fell 3.1%, Markets Postponed the Inflation Question
- 2026-08-251.1 兆美元的租賃承諾,還沒進到資產負債表$1.1 Trillion in Lease Commitments Has Yet to Hit the Balance Sheet
- 2026-08-24當龍頭也要漲價:記憶體的帳單開始往終端移動When the Market Leader Raises Prices: Memory Costs Land on the End Customer
- 2026-08-23科技公司加入搶長期資金,長債殖利率因此壓不下來Tech Giants Join the Scramble for Long-Term Capital, Keeping Long Bond Yields High
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